UEFA Europa League · Full time ·League Stage - 2

Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus

0 – 1 Full time

36′Keyliane Abdallah
42′Santiago Hezze
43′Panagiotis Retsos
60′Bruno Onyemaechi
62′Tochukwu NnadiAmine Harit
62′Neal MaupayAmine Gouiri
62′Emerson PalmieriUlisses Garcia
67′Gustavo PuertaRemo Freuler
67′Roman YaremchukArmando González
72′Jota SilvaKostas Fortounis
73′Bruno OnyemaechiNayair Tiknizyan
75′Angel GomesFaris Moumbagna
77′Bamo Meite
80′Keyliane AbdallahGeoffrey Kondogbia
82′ChiquinhoGustavo Sá

Orange Vélodrome, MarseilleReferee: Michael Oliver

Marseille 37%
Draw 27%
Olympiakos Piraeus 36%

Confidence: Medium  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

11 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 4
56 Possession % 44
9 Corners 1
15 Fouls 11
3 Offsides 3
3 Saves 5
458 Accurate passes 348

Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMarseilleDrawOlympiakos Piraeus
Model26.1%25.8%48.2%
Market40.9%27.4%31.7%
Final37.2%27.0%35.8%
Edge-3.7%-0.4%+4.1%

Confidence: Medium · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Marseille ↓ / Olympiakos Pir → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 8% 8% 1 12% 10% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 81%
3+ goals 57%
No goals 6%

Marseille and Olympiakos Piraeus expected goals

Marseille 1.22
Olympiakos Piraeus 1.76

Total expected goals: 2.98

Marseille and Olympiakos Piraeus attack and defence ratings

Marseille

Attack 1.25 +25%
Defence 1.53 +53%

Olympiakos Piraeus

Attack 0.99 -1%
Defence 0.63 -37%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus: result vs prediction

Marseille 0 – 1 Olympiakos Piraeus

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other League Stage - 2 fixtures

UEFA Europa League

Before and after this match

Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Marseille 37.2% 2.69 -3.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 57.1% 1.75 — —
Both teams to score Yes 59.6% 1.68 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.0% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 74.7% 1.34 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Marseille37.2%
Draw27.0%
Olympiakos Piraeus35.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.557.1%
Under 2.542.9%
Both teams to scoreYes59.6%
No40.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)64.2%
12 (either side)73.0%
X2 (draw or away)62.8%
Handicap -1Marseille win10.7%
Push (exactly one goal)14.6%
Loss74.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.1%
1-29.5%
0-17.8%

Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus stats

Marseille and Olympiakos Piraeus recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

2Marseille wins 0Draws 2Olympiakos Piraeus wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2020-12-01MarseilleOlympiakos PiraeusUEFA Champions League2-1
2020-10-21Olympiakos PiraeusMarseilleUEFA Champions League1-0
2011-11-23MarseilleOlympiakos PiraeusUEFA Champions League0-1
2011-09-13Olympiakos PiraeusMarseilleUEFA Champions League0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 40.9%, draw 27.4%, away 31.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.38 3.50 3.06
Bet365 2.30 3.40 3.00
BetVictor 2.30 3.50 2.90
Betano 2.32 3.50 3.00
Betfair 2.30 3.40 3.00
Dafabet 2.39 3.50 3.00
Marathonbet 2.35 3.45 3.02
Pinnacle 2.37 3.52 3.05
SBO 2.34 3.26 2.80
William Hill 2.30 3.25 2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.33 ▲ +0.21
X 3.48 ▼ -0.13
2 3.00 ▼ -0.17

14 snapshots recorded, from .