Marseille
vs
Olympiakos Piraeus
0 – 1 Full time
| 36′ | Keyliane Abdallah | ||
| 42′ | Santiago Hezze | ||
| 43′ | Panagiotis Retsos | ||
| 60′ | Bruno Onyemaechi | ||
| 62′ | Tochukwu NnadiAmine Harit | ||
| 62′ | Neal MaupayAmine Gouiri | ||
| 62′ | Emerson PalmieriUlisses Garcia | ||
| 67′ | Gustavo PuertaRemo Freuler | ||
| 67′ | Roman YaremchukArmando González | ||
| 72′ | Jota SilvaKostas Fortounis | ||
| 73′ | Bruno OnyemaechiNayair Tiknizyan | ||
| 75′ | Angel GomesFaris Moumbagna | ||
| 77′ | Bamo Meite | ||
| 80′ | Keyliane AbdallahGeoffrey Kondogbia | ||
| 82′ | ChiquinhoGustavo Sá |
Match stats
| 11 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 56 | Possession % | 44 |
| 9 | Corners | 1 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Offsides | 3 |
| 3 | Saves | 5 |
| 458 | Accurate passes | 348 |
Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus
| Probability | Marseille | Draw | Olympiakos Piraeus |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.1% | 25.8% | 48.2% |
| Market | 40.9% | 27.4% | 31.7% |
| Final | 37.2% | 27.0% | 35.8% |
| Edge | -3.7% | -0.4% | +4.1% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Marseille and Olympiakos Piraeus expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.98
Marseille and Olympiakos Piraeus attack and defence ratings
Marseille
Olympiakos Piraeus
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus: result vs prediction
Marseille 0 – 1 Olympiakos Piraeus
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
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Before and after this match
Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Marseille | 37.2% | 2.69 | -3.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Marseille | 37.2% |
| Draw | 27.0% | |
| Olympiakos Piraeus | 35.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.6% |
| No | 40.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Marseille win | 10.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 14.6% | |
| Loss | 74.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.1% |
| 1-2 | 9.5% | |
| 0-1 | 7.8% |
Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus stats
Marseille and Olympiakos Piraeus recent form
| WLLLLL | |
| WWWLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-12-01 | Marseille | Olympiakos Piraeus | UEFA Champions League | 2-1 |
| 2020-10-21 | Olympiakos Piraeus | Marseille | UEFA Champions League | 1-0 |
| 2011-11-23 | Marseille | Olympiakos Piraeus | UEFA Champions League | 0-1 |
| 2011-09-13 | Olympiakos Piraeus | Marseille | UEFA Champions League | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.9%, draw 27.4%, away 31.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.38 | 3.50 | 3.06 |
| Bet365 | 2.30 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.90 |
| Betano | 2.32 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.39 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.35 | 3.45 | 3.02 |
| Pinnacle | 2.37 | 3.52 | 3.05 |
| SBO | 2.34 | 3.26 | 2.80 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.25 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .