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La Liga · Full time ·Matchday 4

Getafe vs Celta Vigo

1 – 1 Full time

8′Kiko FemeniaA. Garcia
21′M. Satriano
45′Johan Mojica
55′Zaid Romero
57′C. Starfelt
64′J. GalanJ. Rueda
64′I. AspasS. Carreira
64′J. El AbdellaouiC. Driouech
67′Zaid Romero
67′Zaid Romero
69′P. DuranB. Iglesias
73′M. SatrianoI. Azon
77′Carl Starfelt
83′H. GonzalezF. Jutgla
85′Ramón Terrats
85′Marcos Alonso
90′O. MangalaS. Boselli
90′R. TerratsO. Lopez

Coliseum Alfonso Pérez, GetafeReferee: César Soto Grado, Spain

Getafe 42%
Draw 32%
Celta Vigo 26%

Confidence: High  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

10 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 3
30 Possession % 70
3 Corners 5
8 Fouls 9
0 Offsides 3
2 Saves 1
170 Accurate passes 497

Getafe vs Celta Vigo overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Getafe vs Celta Vigo

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGetafeDrawCelta Vigo
Model57.2%27.1%15.7%
Market37.3%33.9%28.8%
Final42.2%32.2%25.5%
Edge+19.9%-6.8%-13.1%

Confidence: High

Why Getafe

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.72 vs 0.88.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Getafe below the model: +19.9 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Getafe ↓ / Celta Vigo → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 1 10% 13% 2 11% 10% 3 7% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 50%
No goals 9%

Getafe and Celta Vigo expected goals

Getafe 1.72
Celta Vigo 0.88

Total expected goals: 2.60

Getafe and Celta Vigo attack and defence ratings

Getafe

Attack 0.85 -15%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Celta Vigo

Attack 0.76 -24%
Defence 1.27 +27%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Getafe vs Celta Vigo: result vs prediction

Getafe 1 – 1 Celta Vigo

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

La Liga

Before and after this match

Getafe vs Celta Vigo markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Getafe 42.2% 2.37 +19.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 50.2% 1.99 — —
Both teams to score Yes 51.0% 1.96 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 74.5% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 42.8% 2.34 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Getafe42.2%
Draw32.2%
Celta Vigo25.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.550.2%
Under 2.549.8%
Both teams to scoreYes51.0%
No49.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)74.5%
12 (either side)67.8%
X2 (draw or away)57.8%
Handicap -1Getafe win34.3%
Push (exactly one goal)22.9%
Loss42.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.0%
2-011.2%
1-010.2%

Getafe vs Celta Vigo stats

Getafe and Celta Vigo recent form

newest first
Getafe LLWWLW
Celta Vigo DLLDWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Getafe vs Celta Vigo head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Getafe wins 3Draws 3Celta Vigo wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-01GetafeCelta VigoLa Liga0-0
2025-08-17Celta VigoGetafeLa Liga0-2
2025-05-24GetafeCelta VigoLa Liga1-2
2024-11-04Celta VigoGetafeLa Liga1-0
2024-02-11GetafeCelta VigoLa Liga3-2
2023-10-08Celta VigoGetafeLa Liga2-2
2023-05-03GetafeCelta VigoLa Liga1-0
2022-10-24Celta VigoGetafeLa Liga1-1
2022-04-20Celta VigoGetafeLa Liga0-2
2021-10-25GetafeCelta VigoLa Liga0-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Getafe vs Celta Vigo odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 37.3%, draw 33.9%, away 28.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.52 2.76 3.20
1xBet 2.66 2.90 3.39
Bet365 2.55 2.80 3.30
BetVictor 2.55 2.80 3.25
Betano 2.60 2.77 3.25
Betfair 2.63 2.75 3.30
Dafabet 2.48 2.90 3.40
Marathonbet 2.62 2.86 3.34
Pinnacle 2.60 2.82 3.43
SBO 2.54 2.72 3.14
Superbet 2.60 2.82 3.30
Unibet 2.45 2.85 3.35
William Hill 2.50 2.75 3.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.55 ▼ -0.11
X 2.80 ▼ -0.07
2 3.30 ▲ +0.27

17 snapshots recorded, from .