Ironi Tiberias
vs
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Garuda Lions Prediction: Hapoel Beer Sheva
1 – 2 Predicted score · 7% model probability
Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Beer Sheva overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
| Probability | Ironi Tiberias | Draw | Hapoel Beer Sheva |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.2% | 27.3% | 29.5% |
| Market | 13.0% | 19.0% | 68.0% |
| Final | 20.6% | 21.1% | 58.4% |
| Edge | +30.2% | +8.3% | -38.5% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.40, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Beer Sheva match preview
Ironi Tiberias will face Hapoel Beer Sheva in the Ligat Ha'al on October 10, 2026. The model indicates a 20% probability of an Ironi Tiberias victory, while Hapoel Beer Sheva has a 59% chance of winning, with a draw at 21%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, predicted at 7%. The expectation for over 2.5 goals stands at 53%, and both teams scoring is projected at 57%.
In terms of recent form, Ironi Tiberias has recorded a mixed set of results with L-D-W-L-W-W, while Hapoel Beer Sheva shows a stronger performance with W-D-W-L-D-W. Expected goals are calculated at 1.55 for Ironi Tiberias and 1.25 for Hapoel Beer Sheva. The head-to-head record from the last two encounters shows one win for each team.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ironi Tiberias and Hapoel Beer Sheva expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.81
Ironi Tiberias and Hapoel Beer Sheva attack and defence ratings
Ironi Tiberias
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Beer Sheva markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 58.4% | 1.71 | -38.5% | 1.40 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 79.4% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ironi Tiberias | 20.6% |
| Draw | 21.1% | |
| Hapoel Beer Sheva | 58.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.5% |
| No | 42.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 41.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 79.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Hapoel Beer Sheva win | 13.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.6% | |
| Loss | 70.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.9% |
| 2-1 | 9.1% | |
| 1-0 | 8.2% |
Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Beer Sheva stats
Ironi Tiberias and Hapoel Beer Sheva recent form
| Ironi Tiberias |
LDWLWW |
| Hapoel Beer Sheva |
WDWLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ironi Tiberias and Hapoel Beer Sheva season so far
Ironi Tiberias record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Hapoel Beer Sheva record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Beer Sheva head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-20 | Ironi Tiberias | Hapoel Beer Sheva | Ligat Ha'al | 3-0 |
| 2025-08-30 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | Ironi Tiberias | Ligat Ha'al | 7-0 |
| 2025-02-15 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | Ironi Tiberias | Ligat Ha'al | 4-0 |
| 2024-11-09 | Ironi Tiberias | Hapoel Beer Sheva | Ligat Ha'al | 0-2 |
| 2024-08-18 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | Ironi Tiberias | Toto Cup Ligat Al | 2-3 |
| 2024-02-28 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | Ironi Tiberias | State Cup | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Beer Sheva odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 13.0%, draw 19.0%, away 68.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 7.55 | 5.00 | 1.34 |
| Bet365 | 6.50 | 4.33 | 1.36 |
| BetVictor | 7.00 | 4.80 | 1.33 |
| Betano | 6.50 | 4.65 | 1.40 |
| Betfair | 7.00 | 4.75 | 1.33 |
| Dafabet | 7.00 | 4.70 | 1.38 |
| Marathonbet | 7.50 | 5.00 | 1.33 |
| Pinnacle | 7.01 | 5.06 | 1.36 |
| William Hill | 7.50 | 4.80 | 1.29 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .