Ligat Ha'al · Full time ·Matchday 6

Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Beer Sheva

0 – 2 Full time

45′Pedro Miguel Santos AmadorItay Rotman
52′João Victor
63′ariel cohenM. Badjie
70′João VictorAmir Chaim·Ganah
70′Hamode KanaanEilel Peretz
70′guy mizrahizahi ahmed
71′Ido Sharon
74′niv gotliebjunior nene bi gbamble
74′Artur MiranyanSamir Farhud
80′Javon EastMohamad Abu Rumi
87′Eilel Peretz
88′Eden Shamirbar cohen
90′zahi ahmed
90′Forson Amankwah

Tiberias Municipal Stadium, Tiberias

Ironi Tiberias 21%
Draw 21%
Hapoel Beer Sheva 59%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

11 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 8
34 Possession % 66
1 Corners 6
7 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 1
6 Saves 3
179 Accurate passes 633

Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Beer Sheva overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Beer Sheva

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityIroni TiberiasDrawHapoel Beer Sheva
Model43.2%27.3%29.5%
Market13.1%18.7%68.3%
Final20.6%20.8%58.6%
Edge+7.5%+2.2%-9.7%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Ironi Tiberias ↓ / Hapoel Beer Sh → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 8% 13% 7% 2 7% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 78%
3+ goals 53%
No goals 7%

Ironi Tiberias and Hapoel Beer Sheva expected goals

Ironi Tiberias 1.55
Hapoel Beer Sheva 1.25

Total expected goals: 2.81

Ironi Tiberias and Hapoel Beer Sheva attack and defence ratings

Ironi Tiberias

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Hapoel Beer Sheva

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 0.91 -9%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Beer Sheva: result vs prediction

Ironi Tiberias 0 – 2 Hapoel Beer Sheva

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Ligat Ha'al

Before and after this match

Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Beer Sheva markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Hapoel Beer Sheva 58.6% 1.71 -9.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 53.2% 1.88 — —
Both teams to score Yes 57.5% 1.74 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 79.4% 1.26 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 70.5% 1.42 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Ironi Tiberias20.6%
Draw20.8%
Hapoel Beer Sheva58.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.553.2%
Under 2.546.8%
Both teams to scoreYes57.5%
No42.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)41.4%
12 (either side)79.2%
X2 (draw or away)79.4%
Handicap -1Hapoel Beer Sheva win13.0%
Push (exactly one goal)16.6%
Loss70.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.9%
2-19.1%
1-08.2%

Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Beer Sheva stats

Ironi Tiberias and Hapoel Beer Sheva recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Ironi Tiberias and Hapoel Beer Sheva going into this match

league record before kick-off

Ironi Tiberias record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.

Hapoel Beer Sheva record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.

Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Beer Sheva head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

2Ironi Tiberias wins 0Draws 4Hapoel Beer Sheva wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-12-20Ironi TiberiasHapoel Beer ShevaLigat Ha'al3-0
2025-08-30Hapoel Beer ShevaIroni TiberiasLigat Ha'al7-0
2025-02-15Hapoel Beer ShevaIroni TiberiasLigat Ha'al4-0
2024-11-09Ironi TiberiasHapoel Beer ShevaLigat Ha'al0-2
2024-08-18Hapoel Beer ShevaIroni TiberiasToto Cup Ligat Al2-3
2024-02-28Hapoel Beer ShevaIroni TiberiasState Cup1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Beer Sheva odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 13.1%, draw 18.7%, away 68.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 7.55 5.00 1.34
Bet365 6.50 4.33 1.36
BetVictor 7.50 4.80 1.33
Betano 6.50 4.65 1.40
Betfair 7.00 4.75 1.30
Dafabet 6.60 4.90 1.38
Marathonbet 7.50 5.00 1.33
Pinnacle 7.40 5.24 1.37
William Hill 7.00 5.00 1.29

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 7.00 ▲ +0.20
X 4.90 ▲ +0.15
2 1.34 ▼ -0.02

13 snapshots recorded, from .