Ironi Kiryat Shmona
vs
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Garuda Lions Prediction: Hapoel Tel Aviv
1 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Tel Aviv overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
| Probability | Ironi Kiryat Shmona | Draw | Hapoel Tel Aviv |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24.0% | 26.7% | 49.3% |
| Market | 15.2% | 21.8% | 63.0% |
| Final | 17.4% | 23.0% | 59.6% |
| Edge | +8.8% | +4.9% | -13.7% |
Why Hapoel Tel Aviv
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.66 vs 1.10.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.50, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Tel Aviv match preview
Ironi Kiryat Shmona faces Hapoel Tel Aviv in a Ligat Ha'al matchup on October 10, 2026. The probabilities indicate a strong advantage for Hapoel Tel Aviv, with a 59% chance of victory compared to Ironi Kiryat Shmona's 17%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, occurring at a 10% probability, while the expectation for over 2.5 goals stands at 52% and both teams to score at 55%.
Recent form shows Ironi Kiryat Shmona struggling with three losses in their last six matches, while Hapoel Tel Aviv has shown more resilience with four wins in their last six. In their last two encounters, Ironi Kiryat Shmona has not secured a win, with one draw and one loss against Hapoel Tel Aviv. The expected goals reflect this trend, with Ironi Kiryat Shmona at 1.10 and Hapoel Tel Aviv at 1.66.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ironi Kiryat Shmona and Hapoel Tel Aviv expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.76
Ironi Kiryat Shmona and Hapoel Tel Aviv attack and defence ratings
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Tel Aviv markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 59.6% | 1.68 | -13.7% | 1.50 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 82.6% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona | 17.4% |
| Draw | 23.0% | |
| Hapoel Tel Aviv | 59.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.2% |
| No | 44.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 40.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 82.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Hapoel Tel Aviv win | 27.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.4% | |
| Loss | 50.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.7% |
| 1-2 | 9.6% | |
| 0-1 | 9.4% |
Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Tel Aviv stats
Ironi Kiryat Shmona and Hapoel Tel Aviv recent form
| Ironi Kiryat Shmona |
LLLWLL |
| Hapoel Tel Aviv |
WLWWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ironi Kiryat Shmona and Hapoel Tel Aviv season so far
Ironi Kiryat Shmona record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
Hapoel Tel Aviv record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 5 matches.
Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Tel Aviv head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona | Hapoel Tel Aviv | Toto Cup Ligat Al | 1-2 |
| 2025-12-13 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona | Hapoel Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al | 2-2 |
| 2025-08-23 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | Ironi Kiryat Shmona | Ligat Ha'al | 2-1 |
| 2023-05-06 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | Ironi Kiryat Shmona | Ligat Ha'al | 2-2 |
| 2023-02-18 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona | Hapoel Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al | 0-1 |
| 2022-10-30 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | Ironi Kiryat Shmona | Ligat Ha'al | 2-1 |
| 2021-12-25 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | Ironi Kiryat Shmona | Ligat Ha'al | 2-0 |
| 2021-09-11 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona | Hapoel Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al | 0-2 |
| 2021-01-31 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | Ironi Kiryat Shmona | Ligat Ha'al | 1-1 |
| 2020-11-24 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona | Hapoel Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Tel Aviv odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 15.2%, draw 21.8%, away 63.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 6.48 | 4.25 | 1.45 |
| Bet365 | 5.50 | 3.90 | 1.48 |
| BetVictor | 6.00 | 4.10 | 1.45 |
| Betano | 5.80 | 4.10 | 1.50 |
| Betfair | 6.00 | 4.20 | 1.44 |
| Dafabet | 6.00 | 4.20 | 1.48 |
| Marathonbet | 6.40 | 4.25 | 1.44 |
| Pinnacle | 6.40 | 4.37 | 1.45 |
| William Hill | 6.00 | 4.20 | 1.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .