Hapoel Haifa
vs
Maccabi Petah Tikva
Garuda Lions Prediction: Hapoel Haifa
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Petah Tikva overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Petah Tikva
| Probability | Hapoel Haifa | Draw | Maccabi Petah Tikva |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.3% | 25.0% | 23.7% |
| Market | 45.4% | 26.9% | 27.7% |
| Final | 46.9% | 26.4% | 26.7% |
| Edge | +5.9% | -1.9% | -4.0% |
Why Hapoel Haifa
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.84 vs 1.20.
- The market prices Hapoel Haifa below the model: +5.9 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.06, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Petah Tikva match preview
Hapoel Haifa faces Maccabi Petah Tikva in an intriguing Ligat Ha'al matchup. Hapoel Haifa holds a 48% probability of winning, while both teams share a 26% chance of a draw or a victory for Maccabi Petah Tikva. The expected goals suggest a competitive match, with Hapoel Haifa projected at 1.84 and Maccabi Petah Tikva at 1.20. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Hapoel Haifa, occurring with a 10% likelihood.
In terms of recent form, Hapoel Haifa has recorded one win in their last six matches, with two draws and three losses. Conversely, Maccabi Petah Tikva has experienced a mixed run, with two wins and three losses in their last five outings. The probabilities indicate a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% likelihood that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Hapoel Haifa and Maccabi Petah Tikva expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.03
Hapoel Haifa and Maccabi Petah Tikva attack and defence ratings
Hapoel Haifa
Maccabi Petah Tikva
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Petah Tikva markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hapoel Haifa | 46.9% | 2.13 | +5.9% | 2.06 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.7% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.7% | 2.05 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hapoel Haifa | 46.9% |
| Draw | 26.4% | |
| Maccabi Petah Tikva | 26.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.7% |
| No | 40.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Hapoel Haifa win | 29.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.8% | |
| Loss | 48.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.6% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 2-0 | 8.1% |
Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Petah Tikva stats
Hapoel Haifa and Maccabi Petah Tikva recent form
| Hapoel Haifa |
LWDDDW |
| Maccabi Petah Tikva |
LLLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Hapoel Haifa and Maccabi Petah Tikva season so far
Hapoel Haifa record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Maccabi Petah Tikva record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Petah Tikva head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-04 | Hapoel Haifa | Maccabi Petah Tikva | Ligat Ha'al | 5-1 |
| 2024-09-21 | Maccabi Petah Tikva | Hapoel Haifa | Ligat Ha'al | 0-0 |
| 2024-03-05 | Hapoel Haifa | Maccabi Petah Tikva | State Cup | 0-3 |
| 2024-01-08 | Maccabi Petah Tikva | Hapoel Haifa | Ligat Ha'al | 0-3 |
| 2023-09-02 | Hapoel Haifa | Maccabi Petah Tikva | Ligat Ha'al | 2-2 |
| 2023-07-11 | Hapoel Haifa | Maccabi Petah Tikva | Friendlies Clubs | 1-1 |
| 2022-04-02 | Maccabi Petah Tikva | Hapoel Haifa | Ligat Ha'al | 0-0 |
| 2022-01-15 | Hapoel Haifa | Maccabi Petah Tikva | Ligat Ha'al | 2-2 |
| 2021-10-02 | Maccabi Petah Tikva | Hapoel Haifa | Ligat Ha'al | 2-0 |
| 2021-01-26 | Hapoel Haifa | Maccabi Petah Tikva | Ligat Ha'al | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Petah Tikva odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 45.4%, draw 26.9%, away 27.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.03 | 3.40 | 3.42 |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.25 | 3.25 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.25 |
| Betano | 2.05 | 3.45 | 3.30 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| Dafabet | 2.04 | 3.50 | 3.30 |
| Marathonbet | 2.01 | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| Pinnacle | 2.06 | 3.40 | 3.47 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.30 | 3.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .