Ligat Ha'al · 2026-10-10T16:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 6

Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Petah Tikva

2 – 1 Full time

7′			Alon Turgeman
36′			Lior KasaIdo Cohen
45′			C Diakité
45′			C DiakitéWahib·Habiballa
58′			Marko RakonjacK. Spence
58′			Eitan TibiBashar Abdach
68′			Arial MendyDor Malul
69′			Shai EliasIsrael Sali Pahima
70′			Guy Deznet
75′			Aviv Salem
82′			Liran HazanDan Lee-Yam
82′			Aviv SalemItay Baruch
82′			Liran RotmanItai Zafrani
90′			Dario Župarić
90′			Israel Sali Pahima

Sammy Ofer Stadium, Haifa

Hapoel Haifa

47%

Draw

26%

Maccabi Petah Tikva

27%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

13	Shots	8
5	Shots on target	3
48	Possession %	52
5	Corners	2
14	Fouls	15
5	Offsides	1
2	Saves	3
337	Accurate passes	319

Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Petah Tikva overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Petah Tikva

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Hapoel Haifa	Draw	Maccabi Petah Tikva
Model	51.3%	25.0%	23.7%
Market	45.6%	26.4%	28.0%
Final	47.0%	26.0%	27.0%
Edge	+1.4%	-0.4%	-1.1%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Hapoel Haifa

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.84 vs 1.20.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

94%

2+ goals

82%

3+ goals

58%

No goals

Hapoel Haifa and Maccabi Petah Tikva expected goals

Hapoel Haifa

1.84

Maccabi Petah Tikva

1.20

Total expected goals: 3.03

Hapoel Haifa and Maccabi Petah Tikva attack and defence ratings

Hapoel Haifa

Attack

0.90 -10%

Defence

0.83 -17%

Maccabi Petah Tikva

Attack

1.03 +3%

Defence

1.29 +29%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Petah Tikva: result vs prediction

Hapoel Haifa 2 – 1 Maccabi Petah Tikva

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Ligat Ha'al

Ironi Tiberias v Hapoel Beer Sheva — match page · 2026-10-10
Hapoel Petah Tikva v Maccabi Netanya — match page · 2026-10-10
Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Tel Aviv · 2026-10-10
Maccabi Tel Aviv v Bnei Sakhnin — match page · 2026-10-10
Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Beitar Jerusalem — team news & stats · 2026-10-11
Hapoel Katamon vs Maccabi Haifa · 2026-10-12

Before and after this match

Hapoel Haifa, previous: Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Haifa prediction
Hapoel Haifa, next: Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Ramat Gan: odds and pick
Maccabi Petah Tikva, previous: Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Katamon: odds and pick
Maccabi Petah Tikva, next: Maccabi Petah Tikva – Maccabi Haifa, 2026-10-17

Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Petah Tikva markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Hapoel Haifa	47.0%	2.13	+1.4%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	58.5%	1.71	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	59.7%	1.67	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	74.0%	1.35	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	48.7%	2.05	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Hapoel Haifa	47.0%
	Draw	26.0%
	Maccabi Petah Tikva	27.0%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	58.5%
	Under 2.5	41.5%
Both teams to score	Yes	59.7%
	No	40.3%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	73.0%
	12 (either side)	74.0%
	X2 (draw or away)	53.0%
Handicap -1	Hapoel Haifa win	29.5%
	Push (exactly one goal)	21.8%
	Loss	48.7%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	11.6%
	2-1	9.7%
	2-0	8.1%

Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Petah Tikva stats

Hapoel Haifa and Maccabi Petah Tikva recent form

newest first

Hapoel Haifa	LWDDDW
Maccabi Petah Tikva	LLLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Hapoel Haifa and Maccabi Petah Tikva going into this match

league record before kick-off

Hapoel Haifa record

They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.

Maccabi Petah Tikva record

They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.

Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Petah Tikva head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Hapoel Haifa wins 5Draws 3Maccabi Petah Tikva wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2025-01-04	Hapoel Haifa	Maccabi Petah Tikva	Ligat Ha'al	5-1
2024-09-21	Maccabi Petah Tikva	Hapoel Haifa	Ligat Ha'al	0-0
2024-03-05	Hapoel Haifa	Maccabi Petah Tikva	State Cup	0-3
2024-01-08	Maccabi Petah Tikva	Hapoel Haifa	Ligat Ha'al	0-3
2023-09-02	Hapoel Haifa	Maccabi Petah Tikva	Ligat Ha'al	2-2
2023-07-11	Hapoel Haifa	Maccabi Petah Tikva	Friendlies Clubs	1-1
2022-04-02	Maccabi Petah Tikva	Hapoel Haifa	Ligat Ha'al	0-0
2022-01-15	Hapoel Haifa	Maccabi Petah Tikva	Ligat Ha'al	2-2
2021-10-02	Maccabi Petah Tikva	Hapoel Haifa	Ligat Ha'al	2-0
2021-01-26	Hapoel Haifa	Maccabi Petah Tikva	Ligat Ha'al	1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Petah Tikva odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 45.6%, draw 26.4%, away 28.0%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	2.03	3.40	3.42
Bet365	1.95	3.25	3.25
BetVictor	1.95	3.50	3.30
Betano	2.07	3.45	3.25
Betfair	1.91	3.60	3.25
Dafabet	2.04	3.55	3.25
Marathonbet	2.01	3.40	3.40
Pinnacle	2.00	3.55	3.72
William Hill	1.91	3.40	3.25

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.00 ▼ -0.03

X 3.45 ▼ -0.15

2 3.25 ▲ +0.09

13 snapshots recorded, from 2026-10-04T08:10:02Z.