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Ligat Ha'al · Full time ·Matchday 5

Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Katamon

2 – 4 Full time

6′N. Vrasana
16′andrew idoko
34′N. Vrasana
42′José Cortés
45′Ilay MadmonOmer Abuhav
45′Hilay Sharabi Melmanomer agvadish
45′Guy DeznetEloge Yao
45′Yoav KorenE. Inbrum
45′I. SoumahMarko Rakonjac
54′Liran Hazan
55′N. Vrasana
56′Sani Abdulsalamohad almagor
65′N. VrasanaOfek nadir
72′Bashar AbdachItay Baruch
72′Li On MizrahiZuberu Sharani
74′E. Inbrum
75′omer agvadish
84′Aviv SalemA. Lugasi
85′Christ Junior Tiehi
86′Ofek nadir

HaMoshava Stadium, Petah Tikva

Maccabi Petah Tikva 41%
Draw 29%
Hapoel Katamon 31%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

20 Shots 16
9 Shots on target 8
64 Possession % 36
8 Corners 2
8 Fouls 14
2 Offsides 2
4 Saves 7
465 Accurate passes 187

Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Katamon overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Katamon

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMaccabi Petah TikvaDrawHapoel Katamon
Model44.6%26.5%29.0%
Market39.2%29.6%31.2%
Final40.5%28.9%30.6%
Edge+5.3%-3.2%-2.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Maccabi Petah Tikva

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.64 vs 1.29.
  • The market prices Maccabi Petah Tikva below the model: +5.3 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Maccabi Petah ↓ / Hapoel Katamon → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 8% 12% 7% 2 7% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 56%
No goals 6%

Maccabi Petah Tikva and Hapoel Katamon expected goals

Maccabi Petah Tikva 1.64
Hapoel Katamon 1.29

Total expected goals: 2.93

Maccabi Petah Tikva and Hapoel Katamon attack and defence ratings

Maccabi Petah Tikva

Attack 0.99 -1%
Defence 1.10 +10%

Hapoel Katamon

Attack 0.83 -17%
Defence 1.05 +5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Katamon: result vs prediction

Maccabi Petah Tikva 2 – 4 Hapoel Katamon

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Ligat Ha'al

Before and after this match

Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Katamon markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Maccabi Petah Tikva 40.5% 2.47 +5.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 56.1% 1.78 — —
Both teams to score Yes 59.5% 1.68 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.1% 1.41 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 55.4% 1.80 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Maccabi Petah Tikva40.5%
Draw28.9%
Hapoel Katamon30.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.556.1%
Under 2.543.9%
Both teams to scoreYes59.5%
No40.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)69.4%
12 (either side)71.1%
X2 (draw or away)59.5%
Handicap -1Maccabi Petah Tikva win23.7%
Push (exactly one goal)20.8%
Loss55.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.4%
2-19.3%
1-07.6%

Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Katamon stats

Maccabi Petah Tikva and Hapoel Katamon recent form

newest first
Maccabi Petah Tikva LLWW
Hapoel Katamon DWLLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.

Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Katamon head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Maccabi Petah Tikva wins 2Draws 5Hapoel Katamon wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-02Hapoel KatamonMaccabi Petah TikvaToto Cup Ligat Al1-0
2025-04-26Hapoel KatamonMaccabi Petah TikvaLigat Ha'al0-0
2025-01-11Maccabi Petah TikvaHapoel KatamonLigat Ha'al2-0
2024-09-28Hapoel KatamonMaccabi Petah TikvaLigat Ha'al4-1
2024-04-14Hapoel KatamonMaccabi Petah TikvaLigat Ha'al2-0
2024-01-03Hapoel KatamonMaccabi Petah TikvaLigat Ha'al3-1
2023-08-26Maccabi Petah TikvaHapoel KatamonLigat Ha'al1-1
2023-08-08Maccabi Petah TikvaHapoel KatamonToto Cup Ligat Al2-1
2022-12-12Hapoel KatamonMaccabi Petah TikvaState Cup0-1
2022-05-08Hapoel KatamonMaccabi Petah TikvaLigat Ha'al1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Katamon odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 39.2%, draw 29.6%, away 31.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.40 3.02 3.02
Bet365 2.20 3.10 2.88
BetVictor 2.30 3.13 2.90
Betano 2.40 3.05 3.00
Betfair 2.30 3.10 2.88
Marathonbet 2.38 3.02 2.99
Pinnacle 2.48 3.09 3.10
William Hill 2.30 3.10 2.75

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.34 ▲ +0.09
X 3.09 ▼ -0.07
2 2.95 ▼ -0.07

8 snapshots recorded, from .