Ironi Tiberias
vs
Hapoel Katamon
2 – 2 Full time
| 29′ | ohad almagor | ||
| 37′ | Omer Abuhav | ||
| 41′ | Ghanam Case | ||
| 43′ | israel dappa | ||
| 45′ | Yonatan LaishTamir Haimovich | ||
| 45′ | israel dappaN. Vrasana | ||
| 45′ | Omer AbuhavAriel Yanai Distelfeld | ||
| 47′ | N. Vrasana | ||
| 58′ | omer agvadish | ||
| 62′ | omer agvadishIdan Cohen | ||
| 62′ | M. BadjieGal Gabi Matuk | ||
| 70′ | Sani AbdulsalamEdward Chilufya | ||
| 76′ | Ghanam CaseArtur Miranyan | ||
| 76′ | ariel cohenSamir Farhud | ||
| 77′ | andrew idoko | ||
| 87′ | ron ungerAgam Yehuda | ||
| 88′ | Chris Kouakou | ||
| 90′ | Ariel Yanai Distelfeld | ||
| 90′ | Ziv Morgan |
Match stats
| 8 | Shots | 14 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 45 | Possession % | 55 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 6 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 1 |
| 332 | Accurate passes | 436 |
Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Katamon overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Katamon
| Probability | Ironi Tiberias | Draw | Hapoel Katamon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.1% | 27.2% | 16.7% |
| Market | 31.7% | 29.5% | 38.8% |
| Final | 37.8% | 28.9% | 33.3% |
| Edge | +24.4% | -2.3% | -22.2% |
Why Ironi Tiberias
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.60 vs 0.77.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices Ironi Tiberias below the model: +24.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ironi Tiberias and Hapoel Katamon expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.37
Ironi Tiberias and Hapoel Katamon attack and defence ratings
Ironi Tiberias
Hapoel Katamon
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Katamon: result vs prediction
Ironi Tiberias 2 – 2 Hapoel Katamon
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Katamon markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ironi Tiberias | 37.8% | 2.64 | +24.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.9% | 2.28 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ironi Tiberias | 37.8% |
| Draw | 28.9% | |
| Hapoel Katamon | 33.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.1% |
| No | 55.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ironi Tiberias win | 31.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.1% | |
| Loss | 43.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 13.8% |
| 1-1 | 12.6% | |
| 2-0 | 12.0% |
Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Katamon stats
Ironi Tiberias and Hapoel Katamon recent form
| Ironi Tiberias |
WLWWWW |
| Hapoel Katamon |
WLLLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Katamon head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-18 | Hapoel Katamon | Ironi Tiberias | Ligat Ha'al | 0-2 |
| 2026-01-17 | Hapoel Katamon | Ironi Tiberias | Ligat Ha'al | 2-0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Ironi Tiberias | Hapoel Katamon | Ligat Ha'al | 1-0 |
| 2025-05-03 | Hapoel Katamon | Ironi Tiberias | Ligat Ha'al | 3-1 |
| 2025-02-01 | Hapoel Katamon | Ironi Tiberias | Ligat Ha'al | 4-0 |
| 2024-10-26 | Ironi Tiberias | Hapoel Katamon | Ligat Ha'al | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Katamon odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 31.7%, draw 29.5%, away 38.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.96 | 3.12 | 2.37 |
| Bet365 | 2.62 | 3.00 | 2.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.90 | 3.13 | 2.30 |
| Betano | 2.85 | 3.10 | 2.47 |
| Betfair | 2.80 | 3.10 | 2.30 |
| Marathonbet | 2.93 | 3.12 | 2.35 |
| Pinnacle | 3.04 | 3.21 | 2.44 |
| SBO | 2.64 | 2.95 | 2.32 |
| William Hill | 2.88 | 3.10 | 2.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .