Maccabi Tel Aviv
vs
Hapoel Tel Aviv
4 – 1 Full time
| 19′ | Dor Peretz | ||
| 33′ | stav torial | ||
| 36′ | Osher Davida | ||
| 37′ | stav torial | ||
| 37′ | Osher Davida | ||
| 45′ | stav torial | ||
| 45′ | Fernand Mayembo | ||
| 47′ | Lucas de Oliveira Teodoro Falcão | ||
| 66′ | Ester SoklerElad Madmon | ||
| 76′ | douglas owusuMor Buskila | ||
| 76′ | Emmanuel BoatengOmri Altman | ||
| 76′ | Lucas de Oliveira Teodoro FalcãoRoy Korine | ||
| 76′ | James Taverniertyrese asante | ||
| 76′ | Osher DavidaHisham Layous | ||
| 83′ | Roee alkokinDaniel Dappa | ||
| 84′ | Dor Peretz | ||
| 86′ | Andrian Kraev | ||
| 87′ | Doron LeidnerShahar Piven | ||
| 88′ | Hisham Layous | ||
| 90′ | Gabi KanikovskiIdo Shahar | ||
| 90′ | Elad Madmon |
Match stats
| 19 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 58 | Possession % | 42 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Offsides | 3 |
| 3 | Saves | 5 |
| 443 | Accurate passes | 256 |
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Tel Aviv overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
| Probability | Maccabi Tel Aviv | Draw | Hapoel Tel Aviv |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.3% | 27.8% | 31.9% |
| Market | 43.1% | 25.7% | 31.2% |
| Final | 42.4% | 26.2% | 31.4% |
| Edge | -2.8% | +2.1% | +0.7% |
Why Maccabi Tel Aviv
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Maccabi Tel Aviv and Hapoel Tel Aviv expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.75
Maccabi Tel Aviv and Hapoel Tel Aviv attack and defence ratings
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Tel Aviv: result vs prediction
Maccabi Tel Aviv 4 – 1 Hapoel Tel Aviv
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Tel Aviv markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 42.4% | 2.36 | -2.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.8% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 42.4% |
| Draw | 26.2% | |
| Hapoel Tel Aviv | 31.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.8% |
| No | 43.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Maccabi Tel Aviv win | 20.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.2% | |
| Loss | 59.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.2% |
| 2-1 | 8.8% | |
| 1-0 | 8.2% |
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Tel Aviv stats
Maccabi Tel Aviv and Hapoel Tel Aviv recent form
| Maccabi Tel Aviv |
WWDWLW |
| Hapoel Tel Aviv |
WWDLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Tel Aviv head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | Maccabi Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al | 1-1 |
| 2026-04-19 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | Hapoel Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al | 1-0 |
| 2026-01-26 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | Hapoel Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al | 1-2 |
| 2026-01-14 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | Maccabi Tel Aviv | State Cup | 1-1 |
| 2024-01-17 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | Hapoel Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al | 4-2 |
| 2023-09-26 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | Maccabi Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al | 0-5 |
| 2023-01-28 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | Maccabi Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al | 0-0 |
| 2022-10-10 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | Hapoel Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al | 3-0 |
| 2022-05-21 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | Maccabi Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Tel Aviv odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.8%, draw 25.9%, away 31.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.20 | 3.50 | 2.86 |
| 1xBet | 2.16 | 3.52 | 3.06 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.40 | 2.90 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.70 | 2.90 |
| Betano | 2.18 | 3.40 | 3.10 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.60 | 2.88 |
| Marathonbet | 2.14 | 3.52 | 3.05 |
| Pinnacle | 2.16 | 3.67 | 3.18 |
| SBO | 1.91 | 3.26 | 2.85 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.50 | 2.88 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .