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Ligat Ha'al · Full time ·Matchday 3

Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv

1 – 4 Full time

1′H. Varela
5′Lucas VenturaZ. Ahmed
25′Noam Ben Harosh
28′Niv Yehoshua
33′Ofir Marciano
35′E. Sokler
39′Miguel Vítor
44′Eliel Peretz
44′Eliel Peretz
44′Eliel Peretz
45′A. C. Ganah
46′Miguel VitorD. T. Diop
62′A. UgarrizaA. Forson
62′G. MizrahiJoao Victor
68′E. Sokler
69′J. TavernierT. Asante
69′E. SoklerE. Madmon
75′A. C. GanahY. Malede
79′D. Peretz
81′I. SissokhoD. Glazer
81′D. PeretzI. Shahar
84′Zahi Ahmed
86′O. DavidaI. Ben Simon

Toto Turner Stadium

Hapoel Beer Sheva 39%
Draw 25%
Maccabi Tel Aviv 36%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

7 Shots 22
2 Shots on target 14
43 Possession % 57
4 Corners 5
15 Fouls 13
3 Offsides 1
9 Saves 1
326 Accurate passes 461

Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHapoel Beer ShevaDrawMaccabi Tel Aviv
Model36.5%22.1%41.4%
Market39.9%26.2%34.0%
Final39.0%25.2%35.8%
Edge-3.4%-4.1%+7.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Hapoel Beer Sheva

  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Hapoel Beer Sh ↓ / Maccabi Tel Av → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 8% 5% 4% 2 7% 7% 5% 4% 3 5% 5% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 92%
3+ goals 76%
No goals 3%

Hapoel Beer Sheva and Maccabi Tel Aviv expected goals

Hapoel Beer Sheva 1.94
Maccabi Tel Aviv 2.06

Total expected goals: 4.00

Hapoel Beer Sheva and Maccabi Tel Aviv attack and defence ratings

Hapoel Beer Sheva

Attack 1.24 +24%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Maccabi Tel Aviv

Attack 1.41 +41%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv: result vs prediction

Hapoel Beer Sheva 1 – 4 Maccabi Tel Aviv

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

Ligat Ha'al

Before and after this match

Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Hapoel Beer Sheva 39.0% 2.56 -3.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 76.1% 1.31 — —
Both teams to score Yes 75.4% 1.33 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.8% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 63.2% 1.58 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Hapoel Beer Sheva39.0%
Draw25.2%
Maccabi Tel Aviv35.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.576.1%
Under 2.523.9%
Both teams to scoreYes75.4%
No24.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)64.2%
12 (either side)74.8%
X2 (draw or away)61.0%
Handicap -1Hapoel Beer Sheva win20.1%
Push (exactly one goal)16.6%
Loss63.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-18.1%
1-27.6%
2-27.3%

Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv stats

Hapoel Beer Sheva and Maccabi Tel Aviv recent form

newest first
Hapoel Beer Sheva DWLWWW
Maccabi Tel Aviv WDWLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Hapoel Beer Sheva wins 2Draws 4Maccabi Tel Aviv wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-16Hapoel Beer ShevaMaccabi Tel AvivSuper Cup1-3
2026-05-26Hapoel Beer ShevaMaccabi Tel AvivState Cup1-2
2026-05-19Hapoel Beer ShevaMaccabi Tel AvivLigat Ha'al4-2
2026-04-28Maccabi Tel AvivHapoel Beer ShevaLigat Ha'al1-0
2026-04-12Maccabi Tel AvivHapoel Beer ShevaLigat Ha'al1-3
2025-12-07Hapoel Beer ShevaMaccabi Tel AvivLigat Ha'al1-0
2025-07-13Maccabi Tel AvivHapoel Beer ShevaSuper Cup1-2
2025-05-05Maccabi Tel AvivHapoel Beer ShevaLigat Ha'al1-1
2025-03-31Hapoel Beer ShevaMaccabi Tel AvivLigat Ha'al1-3
2025-01-01Hapoel Beer ShevaMaccabi Tel AvivLigat Ha'al2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 39.9%, draw 26.2%, away 34.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.25 3.60 2.72
1xBet 2.31 3.34 2.93
Bet365 2.20 3.50 2.70
BetVictor 2.25 3.60 2.70
Betano 2.35 3.55 2.67
Betfair 2.30 3.50 2.63
Dafabet 2.34 3.55 2.70
Marathonbet 2.29 3.34 2.91
Pinnacle 2.32 3.40 3.07
SBO 2.27 3.26 2.49
Superbet 2.35 3.50 2.70
Unibet 2.43 3.20 2.48
William Hill 2.15 3.60 2.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.30 —
X 3.50 ▲ +0.10
2 2.70 ▲ +0.10

11 snapshots recorded, from .