Garuda Lions
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Ligat Ha'al · Full time ·Matchday 3

Bnei Sakhnin vs Beitar Jerusalem

0 – 1 Full time

22′Roey Elimelech
28′Tomer Yosefi
32′Brayan Carabalí
41′Antonio Sefer
45′Saná Gomes
60′Shon Weissman
63′E. Ansah
69′L. HalafB. Khuri
75′Omer Atzili
79′I. HajajM. Abu Riya
79′A. SeferJ. Bushnaq
81′O. AtziliJ. Kalu
86′SanaA. Taha
90′S. WeissmanN. Muche
90′T. YosefiY. Shua

Doha Stadium, Sakhnin

Bnei Sakhnin 19%
Draw 25%
Beitar Jerusalem 56%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

13 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 7
40 Possession % 60
2 Corners 4
16 Fouls 21
2 Offsides 3
6 Saves 4
263 Accurate passes 437

Bnei Sakhnin vs Beitar Jerusalem overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Bnei Sakhnin vs Beitar Jerusalem

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBnei SakhninDrawBeitar Jerusalem
Model20.0%30.8%49.2%
Market18.3%22.8%58.9%
Final18.7%24.8%56.5%
Edge+1.7%+8.0%-9.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Beitar Jerusalem

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.33 vs 0.76.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Bnei Sakhnin ↓ / Beitar Jerusal → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 14% 15% 11% 1 8% 14% 8% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 86%
2+ goals 63%
3+ goals 35%
No goals 14%

Bnei Sakhnin and Beitar Jerusalem expected goals

Bnei Sakhnin 0.76
Beitar Jerusalem 1.33

Total expected goals: 2.09

Bnei Sakhnin and Beitar Jerusalem attack and defence ratings

Bnei Sakhnin

Attack 0.41 -59%
Defence 1.11 +11%

Beitar Jerusalem

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 1.17 +17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Bnei Sakhnin vs Beitar Jerusalem: result vs prediction

Bnei Sakhnin 0 – 1 Beitar Jerusalem

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

Ligat Ha'al

Before and after this match

Bnei Sakhnin vs Beitar Jerusalem markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Beitar Jerusalem 56.5% 1.77 -9.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 65.1% 1.54 — —
Both teams to score No 59.5% 1.68 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 81.3% 1.23 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 51.1% 1.96 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Bnei Sakhnin18.7%
Draw24.8%
Beitar Jerusalem56.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.534.9%
Under 2.565.1%
Both teams to scoreYes40.5%
No59.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)43.5%
12 (either side)75.2%
X2 (draw or away)81.3%
Handicap -1Beitar Jerusalem win23.9%
Push (exactly one goal)25.0%
Loss51.1%
Correct score (top 3)0-115.2%
1-113.7%
0-013.5%

Bnei Sakhnin vs Beitar Jerusalem stats

Bnei Sakhnin and Beitar Jerusalem recent form

newest first
Bnei Sakhnin LDLLLL
Beitar Jerusalem LLWLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Bnei Sakhnin vs Beitar Jerusalem head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

4Bnei Sakhnin wins 1Draws 4Beitar Jerusalem wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-12-15Beitar JerusalemBnei SakhninLigat Ha'al2-1
2025-08-25Bnei SakhninBeitar JerusalemLigat Ha'al1-2
2025-01-25Beitar JerusalemBnei SakhninLigat Ha'al1-0
2024-11-05Bnei SakhninBeitar JerusalemLigat Ha'al2-1
2024-02-17Bnei SakhninBeitar JerusalemLigat Ha'al2-1
2023-12-16Beitar JerusalemBnei SakhninLigat Ha'al1-1
2023-04-16Bnei SakhninBeitar JerusalemLigat Ha'al4-3
2023-03-11Bnei SakhninBeitar JerusalemLigat Ha'al2-0
2022-11-14Beitar JerusalemBnei SakhninLigat Ha'al2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Bnei Sakhnin vs Beitar Jerusalem odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 18.3%, draw 22.8%, away 58.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 5.10 4.00 1.55
1xBet 5.28 4.05 1.57
Bet365 4.75 3.80 1.55
BetVictor 5.25 4.00 1.53
Betano 5.00 3.95 1.60
Betfair 5.00 4.00 1.47
Dafabet 5.00 4.10 1.57
Marathonbet 5.35 4.05 1.55
Pinnacle 5.37 4.19 1.58
SBO 4.72 3.69 1.51
Superbet 5.00 4.00 1.57
Unibet 5.25 3.90 1.50
William Hill 5.00 3.90 1.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 5.00 ▼ -2.50
X 4.00 ▼ -0.50
2 1.55 ▲ +0.22

12 snapshots recorded, from .