Hapoel Tel Aviv
vs
Beitar Jerusalem
3 – 0 Full time
| 3′ | Marcus Coco | ||
| 17′ | R. Alkoukin | ||
| 38′ | Eugene Ansah | ||
| 44′ | timothy muzie | ||
| 44′ | Lucas de Oliveira Teodoro Falcão | ||
| 48′ | Luka Gadrani | ||
| 52′ | D. WorkoL. Deri | ||
| 52′ | Y. ShuaS. Weissman | ||
| 59′ | Z. Ben ShimolT. Yosefi | ||
| 62′ | Omer Atzili | ||
| 65′ | S. TurielS. Piven | ||
| 65′ | D. LeidnerM. Buskila | ||
| 73′ | D. Owusu | ||
| 75′ | D. OwusuR. Korine | ||
| 77′ | R. AlkoukinD. Dappa | ||
| 78′ | Tomer Yosefi | ||
| 82′ | D. Dappa | ||
| 83′ | FalcaoE. Y. Kancepolsky | ||
| 86′ | Boris EnowN. Muche | ||
| 86′ | E. AnsahY. Shicot | ||
| 90′ | Brayan Carabalí |
Match stats
| 15 | Shots | 6 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 0 |
| 59 | Possession % | 41 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 19 | Fouls | 21 |
| 1 | Offsides | 3 |
| 0 | Saves | 4 |
| 325 | Accurate passes | 350 |
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem
| Probability | Hapoel Tel Aviv | Draw | Beitar Jerusalem |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.0% | 32.2% | 30.8% |
| Market | 38.3% | 26.8% | 34.8% |
| Final | 38.0% | 28.2% | 33.8% |
| Edge | -1.4% | +5.4% | -4.0% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Hapoel Tel Aviv and Beitar Jerusalem expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.14
Hapoel Tel Aviv and Beitar Jerusalem attack and defence ratings
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Beitar Jerusalem
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem: result vs prediction
Hapoel Tel Aviv 3 – 0 Beitar Jerusalem
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 38.0% | 2.63 | -1.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.9% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 38.0% |
| Draw | 28.2% | |
| Beitar Jerusalem | 33.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.4% |
| No | 55.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Hapoel Tel Aviv win | 15.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.1% | |
| Loss | 63.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.8% |
| 0-0 | 13.1% | |
| 1-0 | 12.0% |
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem stats
Hapoel Tel Aviv and Beitar Jerusalem recent form
| Hapoel Tel Aviv |
DLDLWD |
| Beitar Jerusalem |
LWLLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Beitar Jerusalem | Hapoel Tel Aviv | Toto Cup Ligat Al | 2-2 |
| 2026-05-23 | Beitar Jerusalem | Hapoel Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al | 1-1 |
| 2026-05-06 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | Beitar Jerusalem | Ligat Ha'al | 0-1 |
| 2026-01-01 | Beitar Jerusalem | Hapoel Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-28 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | Beitar Jerusalem | Toto Cup Ligat Al | 1-2 |
| 2025-09-15 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | Beitar Jerusalem | Ligat Ha'al | 3-2 |
| 2024-04-27 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | Beitar Jerusalem | Ligat Ha'al | 1-5 |
| 2024-01-22 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | Beitar Jerusalem | Ligat Ha'al | 0-1 |
| 2023-10-02 | Beitar Jerusalem | Hapoel Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al | 0-3 |
| 2023-03-18 | Beitar Jerusalem | Hapoel Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 38.3%, draw 26.8%, away 34.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.42 | 3.45 | 2.58 |
| 1xBet | 2.38 | 3.38 | 2.76 |
| Bet365 | 2.30 | 3.40 | 2.62 |
| BetVictor | 2.38 | 3.40 | 2.63 |
| Betano | 2.45 | 3.40 | 2.65 |
| Betfair | 2.40 | 3.50 | 2.50 |
| Dafabet | 2.42 | 3.40 | 2.65 |
| Marathonbet | 2.36 | 3.38 | 2.78 |
| Pinnacle | 2.40 | 3.50 | 2.88 |
| SBO | 2.27 | 3.14 | 2.56 |
| Superbet | 2.62 | 3.40 | 2.47 |
| Unibet | 2.38 | 3.15 | 2.60 |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 3.30 | 2.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .