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Ligat Ha'al · Full time ·Matchday 1

Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona

2 – 1 Full time

HaMoshava Stadium, Petah TikvaReferee: D. Fuxman

Maccabi Petah Tikva 35%
Draw 27%
Ironi Kiryat Shmona 38%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMaccabi Petah TikvaDrawIroni Kiryat Shmona
Model32.8%26.0%41.2%
Market35.9%27.7%36.3%
Final35.1%27.3%37.6%
Edge-3.1%-1.7%+4.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Ironi Kiryat Shmona

  • The market prices Ironi Kiryat Shmona below the model: +4.9 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Maccabi Petah ↓ / Ironi Kiryat S → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 6% 1 12% 9% 2 8% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 59%
No goals 6%

Maccabi Petah Tikva and Ironi Kiryat Shmona expected goals

Maccabi Petah Tikva 1.44
Ironi Kiryat Shmona 1.63

Total expected goals: 3.07

Maccabi Petah Tikva and Ironi Kiryat Shmona attack and defence ratings

Maccabi Petah Tikva

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Ironi Kiryat Shmona

Attack 1.16 +16%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona: result vs prediction

Maccabi Petah Tikva 2 – 1 Ironi Kiryat Shmona

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 1 fixtures

Ligat Ha'al

Before and after this match

Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Ironi Kiryat Shmona 37.6% 2.66 +4.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 59.3% 1.69 — —
Both teams to score Yes 62.5% 1.60 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.7% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.8% 1.70 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Maccabi Petah Tikva35.1%
Draw27.3%
Ironi Kiryat Shmona37.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.559.3%
Under 2.540.7%
Both teams to scoreYes62.5%
No37.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)62.4%
12 (either side)72.7%
X2 (draw or away)64.9%
Handicap -1Ironi Kiryat Shmona win21.6%
Push (exactly one goal)19.6%
Loss58.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.0%
1-28.9%
2-17.8%

Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona stats

Maccabi Petah Tikva and Ironi Kiryat Shmona recent form

newest first
Maccabi Petah Tikva no matches on record
Ironi Kiryat Shmona LWDWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 35.9%, draw 27.7%, away 36.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.52 3.35 2.52
1xBet 2.66 3.18 2.57
Bet365 2.40 3.50 2.40
BetVictor 2.55 3.30 2.50
Betano 2.57 3.35 2.55
Betfair 2.50 3.30 2.45
Dafabet 2.55 3.40 2.55
Marathonbet 2.66 3.18 2.57
Pinnacle 2.73 3.30 2.63
SBO 2.53 3.02 2.36
Superbet 2.57 3.35 2.52
Unibet 2.65 3.00 2.45
William Hill 2.50 3.10 2.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.55 ▲ +0.05
X 3.30 —
2 2.52 ▼ -0.03

2 snapshots recorded, from .