Hapoel Katamon
vs
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2 – 5 Full time
Hapoel Katamon vs Maccabi Tel Aviv overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Hapoel Katamon vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
| Probability | Hapoel Katamon | Draw | Maccabi Tel Aviv |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23.6% | 32.1% | 44.3% |
| Market | 15.3% | 21.1% | 63.6% |
| Final | 17.3% | 23.9% | 58.8% |
| Edge | +8.3% | +10.9% | -19.3% |
Why Maccabi Tel Aviv
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.23 vs 0.83.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Hapoel Katamon and Maccabi Tel Aviv expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.06
Hapoel Katamon and Maccabi Tel Aviv attack and defence ratings
Hapoel Katamon
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Hapoel Katamon vs Maccabi Tel Aviv: result vs prediction
Hapoel Katamon 2 – 5 Maccabi Tel Aviv
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Hapoel Katamon vs Maccabi Tel Aviv markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 58.8% | 1.70 | -19.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 82.7% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.7% | 1.80 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hapoel Katamon | 17.3% |
| Draw | 23.9% | |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv | 58.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 33.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 66.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.2% |
| No | 58.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 41.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 82.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Maccabi Tel Aviv win | 20.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.9% | |
| Loss | 55.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 14.4% |
| 1-1 | 14.3% | |
| 0-0 | 14.0% |
Hapoel Katamon vs Maccabi Tel Aviv stats
Hapoel Katamon and Maccabi Tel Aviv recent form
| Hapoel Katamon |
LWWLWD |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv |
LWLWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Hapoel Katamon vs Maccabi Tel Aviv head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-03 | Hapoel Katamon | Maccabi Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al | 1-3 |
| 2025-09-20 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | Hapoel Katamon | Ligat Ha'al | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Hapoel Katamon vs Maccabi Tel Aviv odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 15.3%, draw 21.1%, away 63.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 6.49 | 4.35 | 1.45 |
| Bet365 | 5.50 | 4.33 | 1.42 |
| BetVictor | 6.00 | 4.20 | 1.44 |
| Betano | 6.00 | 4.25 | 1.47 |
| Betfair | 6.00 | 4.20 | 1.40 |
| Dafabet | 6.20 | 4.40 | 1.45 |
| Marathonbet | 6.45 | 4.35 | 1.44 |
| Pinnacle | 6.85 | 4.37 | 1.47 |
| SBO | 5.51 | 3.91 | 1.41 |
| Superbet | 5.90 | 4.35 | 1.46 |
| William Hill | 6.50 | 4.20 | 1.36 |