Ironi Tiberias
vs
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1 – 0 Full time
Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Petah Tikva overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Petah Tikva
| Probability | Ironi Tiberias | Draw | Hapoel Petah Tikva |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 65.6% | 23.0% | 11.4% |
| Market | 33.8% | 28.3% | 38.0% |
| Final | 41.7% | 27.0% | 31.3% |
| Edge | +31.8% | -5.3% | -26.6% |
Why Ironi Tiberias
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.89 vs 0.67.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Ironi Tiberias below the model: +31.8 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ironi Tiberias and Hapoel Petah Tikva expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.56
Ironi Tiberias and Hapoel Petah Tikva attack and defence ratings
Ironi Tiberias
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Petah Tikva: result vs prediction
Ironi Tiberias 1 – 0 Hapoel Petah Tikva
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Petah Tikva markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ironi Tiberias | 41.7% | 2.40 | +31.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Ironi Tiberias win | 40.5% | 2.47 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ironi Tiberias | 41.7% |
| Draw | 27.0% | |
| Hapoel Petah Tikva | 31.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.3% |
| No | 57.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ironi Tiberias win | 40.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.1% | |
| Loss | 34.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 13.8% |
| 1-0 | 13.7% | |
| 1-1 | 10.7% |
Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Petah Tikva stats
Ironi Tiberias and Hapoel Petah Tikva recent form
| Ironi Tiberias |
WWWWDW |
| Hapoel Petah Tikva |
DDDLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Petah Tikva head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-10 | Ironi Tiberias | Hapoel Petah Tikva | Ligat Ha'al | 1-4 |
| 2025-09-27 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | Ironi Tiberias | Ligat Ha'al | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Petah Tikva odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 34.0%, draw 28.1%, away 37.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.64 | 3.30 | 2.44 |
| 1xBet | 2.75 | 3.30 | 2.43 |
| Bet365 | 2.60 | 3.20 | 2.40 |
| BetVictor | 2.70 | 3.25 | 2.40 |
| Betano | 2.75 | 3.30 | 2.42 |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 3.25 | 2.38 |
| Dafabet | 2.75 | 3.30 | 2.44 |
| Marathonbet | 2.75 | 3.30 | 2.43 |
| Pinnacle | 2.84 | 3.38 | 2.49 |
| SBO | 2.62 | 3.04 | 2.28 |
| Superbet | 2.72 | 3.25 | 2.45 |
| William Hill | 2.60 | 3.25 | 2.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .