Garuda Lions
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Ligat Ha'al · Full time ·Matchday 3

Hapoel Katamon vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona

4 – 2 Full time

15′N. Gabay
46′S. ZuberuT. Haimovich
46′Y. DistelfeldO. Abuhav
46′O. AgvadishA. Sani
52′C. Tiehi
56′A. Sheratzky
58′A. Idoko
59′A. SolaO. Benbenishti
65′Shay Ben David
65′O. AlmagorI. Dappa
66′A. Sani
68′Nemanja Ljubisavljević
68′A. SheratzkyI. Sholmyster
68′S. SabahM. Siman Tov
70′Mor Simantov
73′A. Idoko
74′C. TiehiN. Shprauo
74′R. AbdullazadaA. Asefa
75′Talles CostaN. Markovitch
78′Sani Abdulsalam
84′Omer Abuhav
84′Tamir Haimovich

Teddy Stadium, Jerusalem

Hapoel Katamon 31%
Draw 29%
Ironi Kiryat Shmona 40%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

19 Shots 15
9 Shots on target 7
46 Possession % 54
3 Corners 3
15 Fouls 14
5 Saves 5
258 Accurate passes 349

Hapoel Katamon vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Hapoel Katamon vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHapoel KatamonDrawIroni Kiryat Shmona
Model17.1%28.5%54.5%
Market35.5%29.1%35.4%
Final30.9%28.9%40.2%
Edge-18.4%-0.6%+19.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Ironi Kiryat Shmona

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.51 vs 0.74.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Ironi Kiryat Shmona below the model: +19.1 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Hapoel Katamon ↓ / Ironi Kiryat S → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 15% 12% 1 13% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 67%
3+ goals 39%
No goals 12%

Hapoel Katamon and Ironi Kiryat Shmona expected goals

Hapoel Katamon 0.74
Ironi Kiryat Shmona 1.51

Total expected goals: 2.24

Hapoel Katamon and Ironi Kiryat Shmona attack and defence ratings

Hapoel Katamon

Attack 0.55 -45%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Ironi Kiryat Shmona

Attack 1.12 +12%
Defence 0.86 -14%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Hapoel Katamon vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona: result vs prediction

Hapoel Katamon 4 – 2 Ironi Kiryat Shmona

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

Ligat Ha'al

Before and after this match

Hapoel Katamon vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Ironi Kiryat Shmona 40.2% 2.49 +19.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 61.1% 1.64 — —
Both teams to score No 58.3% 1.72 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.1% 1.41 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 45.5% 2.20 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Hapoel Katamon30.9%
Draw28.9%
Ironi Kiryat Shmona40.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.538.9%
Under 2.561.1%
Both teams to scoreYes41.7%
No58.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)59.8%
12 (either side)71.1%
X2 (draw or away)69.1%
Handicap -1Ironi Kiryat Shmona win29.0%
Push (exactly one goal)25.5%
Loss45.5%
Correct score (top 3)0-114.8%
1-113.0%
0-212.0%

Hapoel Katamon vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona stats

Hapoel Katamon and Ironi Kiryat Shmona recent form

newest first
Hapoel Katamon LLLWWL
Ironi Kiryat Shmona WLLWDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Hapoel Katamon vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Hapoel Katamon wins 4Draws 4Ironi Kiryat Shmona wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-19Ironi Kiryat ShmonaHapoel KatamonLigat Ha'al3-1
2026-02-21Hapoel KatamonIroni Kiryat ShmonaLigat Ha'al0-1
2025-11-29Ironi Kiryat ShmonaHapoel KatamonLigat Ha'al1-2
2025-04-05Hapoel KatamonIroni Kiryat ShmonaLigat Ha'al2-0
2025-03-01Hapoel KatamonIroni Kiryat ShmonaLigat Ha'al0-0
2024-12-04Ironi Kiryat ShmonaHapoel KatamonLigat Ha'al2-0
2022-12-24Hapoel KatamonIroni Kiryat ShmonaLigat Ha'al1-1
2022-08-27Ironi Kiryat ShmonaHapoel KatamonLigat Ha'al1-1
2022-04-09Ironi Kiryat ShmonaHapoel KatamonLigat Ha'al2-1
2022-02-27Ironi Kiryat ShmonaHapoel KatamonLigat Ha'al0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Hapoel Katamon vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 35.9%, draw 28.9%, away 35.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.58 3.15 2.58
1xBet 2.61 3.18 2.62
Bet365 2.55 3.00 2.55
BetVictor 2.60 3.10 2.60
Betano 2.55 3.20 2.70
Betfair 2.50 3.20 2.63
Dafabet 2.55 3.20 2.65
Marathonbet 2.61 3.18 2.62
Pinnacle 2.74 3.22 2.68
William Hill 2.50 3.20 2.45

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.60 ▲ +0.05
X 3.18 ▼ -0.02
2 2.61 ▼ -0.04

11 snapshots recorded, from .