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Ligat Ha'al · Full time ·Matchday 4

Hapoel Haifa vs Bnei Sakhnin

3 – 1 Full time

6′yaad gonen
19′C Keita
23′C Keita
25′basil khuri
27′yaad gonen
29′Liran Rotman
37′Noam Cohen
45′Ahmed Ibrahim Salman
45′Saná GomesAhmad Taha
45′Ilay HajajJubayer Bushnak
45′Ahmed Ibrahim SalmanIyad Abu Abaid
60′naor sabag
60′Shai EliasC Diakité
69′maroun gantus
70′Amit Kredimohamad ganame
72′Alon TurgemanWilliam Agade
72′Liran RotmanWahib·Habiballa
74′basil khuri
79′Ahmad TahaMuhammad Taher Abu Riya
89′C KeitaDor Malul
90′yaad gonenIsrael Sali Pahima

Sammy Ofer Stadium, Haifa

Hapoel Haifa 52%
Draw 28%
Bnei Sakhnin 20%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 6
45 Possession % 55
3 Corners 6
15 Fouls 9
2 Offsides 1
5 Saves 2
320 Accurate passes 363

Hapoel Haifa vs Bnei Sakhnin overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Hapoel Haifa vs Bnei Sakhnin

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHapoel HaifaDrawBnei Sakhnin
Model58.4%30.6%11.0%
Market49.7%27.7%22.6%
Final51.9%28.4%19.7%
Edge+8.7%+2.9%-11.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Hapoel Haifa

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.32 vs 0.43.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Hapoel Haifa below the model: +8.7 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Hapoel Haifa ↓ / Bnei Sakhnin → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 18% 1 22% 2 15% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 82%
2+ goals 53%
3+ goals 26%
No goals 18%

Hapoel Haifa and Bnei Sakhnin expected goals

Hapoel Haifa 1.32
Bnei Sakhnin 0.43

Total expected goals: 1.75

Hapoel Haifa and Bnei Sakhnin attack and defence ratings

Hapoel Haifa

Attack 0.78 -22%
Defence 0.77 -23%

Bnei Sakhnin

Attack 0.40 -60%
Defence 1.09 +9%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Hapoel Haifa vs Bnei Sakhnin: result vs prediction

Hapoel Haifa 3 – 1 Bnei Sakhnin

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Ligat Ha'al

Before and after this match

Hapoel Haifa vs Bnei Sakhnin markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Hapoel Haifa 51.9% 1.93 +8.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 74.3% 1.35 — —
Both teams to score No 73.4% 1.36 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 80.3% 1.25 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 41.6% 2.40 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Hapoel Haifa51.9%
Draw28.4%
Bnei Sakhnin19.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.525.7%
Under 2.574.3%
Both teams to scoreYes26.6%
No73.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)80.3%
12 (either side)71.6%
X2 (draw or away)48.1%
Handicap -1Hapoel Haifa win29.3%
Push (exactly one goal)29.1%
Loss41.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-022.0%
0-018.3%
2-015.2%

Hapoel Haifa vs Bnei Sakhnin stats

Hapoel Haifa and Bnei Sakhnin recent form

newest first
Hapoel Haifa DDDWDW
Bnei Sakhnin LLDLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Hapoel Haifa vs Bnei Sakhnin head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6Hapoel Haifa wins 1Draws 3Bnei Sakhnin wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-01Bnei SakhninHapoel HaifaToto Cup Ligat Al1-2
2026-05-18Hapoel HaifaBnei SakhninLigat Ha'al3-0
2025-12-30Hapoel HaifaBnei SakhninLigat Ha'al0-2
2025-09-13Bnei SakhninHapoel HaifaLigat Ha'al0-2
2025-07-30Hapoel HaifaBnei SakhninToto Cup Ligat Al1-0
2025-03-02Hapoel HaifaBnei SakhninLigat Ha'al2-1
2024-12-03Bnei SakhninHapoel HaifaLigat Ha'al0-2
2024-07-28Hapoel HaifaBnei SakhninToto Cup Ligat Al2-2
2024-05-09Hapoel HaifaBnei SakhninLigat Ha'al1-2
2024-04-06Bnei SakhninHapoel HaifaLigat Ha'al2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Hapoel Haifa vs Bnei Sakhnin odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 49.7%, draw 27.7%, away 22.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.86 3.48 4.04
Bet365 1.75 3.30 4.10
BetVictor 1.80 3.30 4.20
Betano 1.87 3.30 4.15
Betfair 1.85 3.30 3.90
Marathonbet 1.84 3.48 4.05
Pinnacle 1.88 3.58 4.14
SBO 1.82 2.93 3.45
William Hill 1.75 3.40 3.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.84 ▲ +0.04
X 3.30 ▼ -0.10
2 4.05 ▲ +0.05

14 snapshots recorded, from .