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Ligat Ha'al · Full time ·Matchday 5

Maccabi Netanya vs Maccabi Tel Aviv

1 – 2 Full time

19′Hélio VarelaIdo Shahar
45′Dor Peretz
45′Maor LeviIsaac Rodrigues de Lima
48′Oz Bilu
59′Osher Davida
60′Nadav NiddamOmri Shamir
60′Oz Bilu
63′Ester SoklerElad Madmon
63′Osher DavidaHisham Layous
67′Issouf Bemba Sissokho
71′Dor Peretz
71′Bakary Konaté
74′James Tavernier
79′Elad Madmon
79′Oz BiluAlex Talpa
79′Basam ZaaruraEylon Almog
83′Dor PeretzItamar Noy
83′Ido ShaharSagiv Yehezkel
88′Aziz Ouattara MohammedDor Hugy
90′Hisham Layous

Miriam Stadium, Netanya

Maccabi Netanya 22%
Draw 21%
Maccabi Tel Aviv 56%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

11 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 8
35 Possession % 65
8 Corners 5
11 Fouls 11
3 Offsides 1
6 Saves 3
303 Accurate passes 470

Maccabi Netanya vs Maccabi Tel Aviv overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Maccabi Netanya vs Maccabi Tel Aviv

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMaccabi NetanyaDrawMaccabi Tel Aviv
Model30.2%23.0%46.8%
Market19.8%20.9%59.3%
Final22.4%21.4%56.1%
Edge+10.3%+2.1%-12.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Maccabi Tel Aviv

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.04 vs 1.62.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Maccabi Netany ↓ / Maccabi Tel Av → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 1 9% 9% 6% 5% 2 7% 7% 5% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 89%
3+ goals 71%
No goals 3%

Maccabi Netanya and Maccabi Tel Aviv expected goals

Maccabi Netanya 1.62
Maccabi Tel Aviv 2.04

Total expected goals: 3.65

Maccabi Netanya and Maccabi Tel Aviv attack and defence ratings

Maccabi Netanya

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 0.91 -9%

Maccabi Tel Aviv

Attack 1.59 +59%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Maccabi Netanya vs Maccabi Tel Aviv: result vs prediction

Maccabi Netanya 1 – 2 Maccabi Tel Aviv

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Ligat Ha'al

Before and after this match

Maccabi Netanya vs Maccabi Tel Aviv markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Maccabi Tel Aviv 56.1% 1.78 -12.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 70.7% 1.41 — —
Both teams to score Yes 70.6% 1.42 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 78.6% 1.27 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 53.1% 1.88 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Maccabi Netanya22.4%
Draw21.4%
Maccabi Tel Aviv56.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.570.7%
Under 2.529.3%
Both teams to scoreYes70.6%
No29.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)43.9%
12 (either side)78.6%
X2 (draw or away)77.6%
Handicap -1Maccabi Tel Aviv win27.5%
Push (exactly one goal)19.4%
Loss53.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.4%
1-28.7%
2-27.0%

Maccabi Netanya vs Maccabi Tel Aviv stats

Maccabi Netanya and Maccabi Tel Aviv recent form

newest first
Maccabi Netanya LDWDWD
Maccabi Tel Aviv WWWDWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Maccabi Netanya vs Maccabi Tel Aviv head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

0Maccabi Netanya wins 2Draws 8Maccabi Tel Aviv wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-16Maccabi NetanyaMaccabi Tel AvivToto Cup Ligat Al0-1
2025-12-21Maccabi NetanyaMaccabi Tel AvivLigat Ha'al1-1
2025-08-31Maccabi Tel AvivMaccabi NetanyaLigat Ha'al4-0
2025-05-12Maccabi NetanyaMaccabi Tel AvivLigat Ha'al1-6
2025-04-05Maccabi Tel AvivMaccabi NetanyaLigat Ha'al4-1
2025-01-18Maccabi Tel AvivMaccabi NetanyaLigat Ha'al4-1
2024-10-06Maccabi NetanyaMaccabi Tel AvivLigat Ha'al1-2
2024-02-19Maccabi NetanyaMaccabi Tel AvivLigat Ha'al1-5
2023-12-17Maccabi Tel AvivMaccabi NetanyaLigat Ha'al2-1
2023-04-22Maccabi NetanyaMaccabi Tel AvivLigat Ha'al0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Maccabi Netanya vs Maccabi Tel Aviv odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 19.8%, draw 21.2%, away 59.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 4.62 4.45 1.57
Bet365 4.50 4.00 1.55
BetVictor 4.75 4.20 1.55
Betano 4.65 4.25 1.60
Betfair 4.60 4.33 1.53
Marathonbet 4.65 4.45 1.55
Pinnacle 4.82 4.59 1.59
William Hill 4.50 4.33 1.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.63 ▲ +0.71
X 4.39 ▲ +0.14
2 1.55 ▼ -0.12

10 snapshots recorded, from .