Hapoel Petah Tikva
vs
Maccabi Netanya
Garuda Lions Prediction: Maccabi Netanya
0 – 1 Predicted score · 12% model probability
Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Netanya overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Netanya
| Probability | Hapoel Petah Tikva | Draw | Maccabi Netanya |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 17.0% | 26.2% | 56.8% |
| Market | 22.4% | 24.1% | 53.4% |
| Final | 21.1% | 24.6% | 54.3% |
| Edge | -5.4% | +2.0% | +3.4% |
Why Maccabi Netanya
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.69 vs 0.83.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Maccabi Netanya below the model: +3.4 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 1.75, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Netanya match preview
Hapoel Petah Tikva faces Maccabi Netanya in their upcoming Ligat Ha'al match on October 10, 2026. The model assigns probabilities of 22% for a Hapoel Petah Tikva win, 25% for a draw, and 53% for a Maccabi Netanya victory. The expected goals suggest Hapoel Petah Tikva will score 0.83, while Maccabi Netanya is projected to net 1.69 goals.
Recent form indicates that Hapoel Petah Tikva has struggled, with three losses and only one win in their last five matches, while Maccabi Netanya has shown some resilience with two wins and three draws in their last five outings. Historically, Hapoel Petah Tikva has won both of their last encounters against Maccabi Netanya, adding an interesting dynamic to this matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Hapoel Petah Tikva and Maccabi Netanya expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.52
Hapoel Petah Tikva and Maccabi Netanya attack and defence ratings
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Maccabi Netanya
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Netanya markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Maccabi Netanya | 54.3% | 1.84 | +3.4% | 1.75 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 78.9% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.2% | 2.31 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 21.1% |
| Draw | 24.6% | |
| Maccabi Netanya | 54.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.1% |
| No | 52.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 45.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 78.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Maccabi Netanya win | 32.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.5% | |
| Loss | 43.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 12.5% |
| 1-1 | 12.4% | |
| 0-2 | 11.5% |
Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Netanya stats
Hapoel Petah Tikva and Maccabi Netanya recent form
| Hapoel Petah Tikva |
LLLWLD |
| Maccabi Netanya |
LLDWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Hapoel Petah Tikva and Maccabi Netanya season so far
Hapoel Petah Tikva record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
Maccabi Netanya record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Netanya head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | Maccabi Netanya | Toto Cup Ligat Al | 0-2 |
| 2025-12-31 | Maccabi Netanya | Hapoel Petah Tikva | Ligat Ha'al | 0-2 |
| 2025-09-13 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | Maccabi Netanya | Ligat Ha'al | 3-1 |
| 2025-07-29 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | Maccabi Netanya | Toto Cup Ligat Al | 2-3 |
| 2024-05-19 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | Maccabi Netanya | Ligat Ha'al | 1-3 |
| 2024-01-13 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | Maccabi Netanya | Ligat Ha'al | 2-0 |
| 2023-09-17 | Maccabi Netanya | Hapoel Petah Tikva | Ligat Ha'al | 4-1 |
| 2021-12-16 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | Maccabi Netanya | State Cup | 0-1 |
| 2017-05-08 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | Maccabi Netanya | Liga Leumit | 1-1 |
| 2016-12-26 | Maccabi Netanya | Hapoel Petah Tikva | Liga Leumit | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Netanya odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 22.4%, draw 24.1%, away 53.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.10 | 3.82 | 1.75 |
| Bet365 | 4.00 | 3.70 | 1.70 |
| BetVictor | 4.20 | 3.70 | 1.70 |
| Betano | 4.20 | 3.75 | 1.75 |
| Dafabet | 4.00 | 3.85 | 1.75 |
| Marathonbet | 4.10 | 3.82 | 1.73 |
| Pinnacle | 4.24 | 3.98 | 1.71 |
| William Hill | 3.90 | 3.80 | 1.65 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .