Maccabi Tel Aviv
vs
Bnei Sakhnin
Garuda Lions Prediction: Maccabi Tel Aviv
2 – 0 Predicted score · 14% model probability
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Bnei Sakhnin overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Bnei Sakhnin
| Probability | Maccabi Tel Aviv | Draw | Bnei Sakhnin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 78.5% | 15.4% | 6.1% |
| Market | 81.6% | 13.1% | 5.4% |
| Final | 80.8% | 13.6% | 5.6% |
| Edge | -3.1% | +2.3% | +0.8% |
Why Maccabi Tel Aviv
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.53 vs 0.61.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.17, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Bnei Sakhnin match preview
Maccabi Tel Aviv enters this match with a strong form, recording four wins and a draw in their last six games. Their expected goals stand at 2.53, highlighting their offensive capabilities, while Bnei Sakhnin struggles with a recent record of one win, four losses, and a draw. Their expected goals are significantly lower at 0.61, indicating challenges in scoring.
The model assigns Maccabi Tel Aviv an 80% probability of winning, with a most likely scoreline of 2-0 at 14%. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is at 61%, while both teams scoring is at 42%. In their last two head-to-head encounters, Maccabi Tel Aviv has one win and one draw against Bnei Sakhnin, who have yet to secure a victory in this matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Maccabi Tel Aviv and Bnei Sakhnin expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.13
Maccabi Tel Aviv and Bnei Sakhnin attack and defence ratings
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Bnei Sakhnin
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Bnei Sakhnin markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 80.8% | 1.24 | -3.1% | 1.17 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 94.4% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Maccabi Tel Aviv win | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 80.8% |
| Draw | 13.6% | |
| Bnei Sakhnin | 5.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.5% |
| No | 57.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 94.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 86.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 19.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Maccabi Tel Aviv win | 57.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.2% | |
| Loss | 21.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 13.9% |
| 3-0 | 11.7% | |
| 1-0 | 10.3% |
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Bnei Sakhnin stats
Maccabi Tel Aviv and Bnei Sakhnin recent form
| Maccabi Tel Aviv |
WWWWDW |
| Bnei Sakhnin |
WLLLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Maccabi Tel Aviv and Bnei Sakhnin season so far
Maccabi Tel Aviv record
- They have won 5 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 3.6 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Bnei Sakhnin record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Bnei Sakhnin head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-10 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | Bnei Sakhnin | Ligat Ha'al | 1-0 |
| 2025-09-28 | Bnei Sakhnin | Maccabi Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al | 0-0 |
| 2025-02-16 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | Bnei Sakhnin | Ligat Ha'al | 3-1 |
| 2024-11-10 | Bnei Sakhnin | Maccabi Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al | 0-4 |
| 2024-08-18 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | Bnei Sakhnin | Toto Cup Ligat Al | 2-1 |
| 2024-05-06 | Bnei Sakhnin | Maccabi Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al | 1-1 |
| 2024-03-30 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | Bnei Sakhnin | Ligat Ha'al | 2-0 |
| 2024-02-10 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | Bnei Sakhnin | Ligat Ha'al | 1-1 |
| 2023-12-10 | Bnei Sakhnin | Maccabi Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al | 2-3 |
| 2023-08-20 | Bnei Sakhnin | Maccabi Tel Aviv | Toto Cup Ligat Al | 1-5 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Bnei Sakhnin odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 81.6%, draw 13.1%, away 5.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.12 | 7.30 | 18.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.14 | 6.50 | 17.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.12 | 7.00 | 17.00 |
| Betano | 1.17 | 6.60 | 14.00 |
| Betfair | 1.12 | 7.00 | 15.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.14 | 7.00 | 16.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.12 | 7.30 | 18.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.14 | 7.64 | 15.72 |
| William Hill | 1.08 | 7.00 | 17.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .