Ligat Ha'al · 2026-10-12T17:30:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 6

Hapoel Katamon vs Maccabi Haifa

1 – 4 Full time

18′			Edward Chilufya
26′			andrew idoko
36′			Andrija Novakovich
40′			Andrija Novakovich
44′			Pedro Brazão
45′			Ilay Madmon
52′			N. VrasanaVitalie Damașcan
52′			Zuberu Sharaniohad almagor
61′			Edward Chilufyaisrael dappa
61′			Ilay MadmonOmer Abuhav
62′			Kenny Saief
67′			Kenji Gorre
69′			omer agvadishIdan Cohen
72′			Ethane AzoulayYarin Levi
72′			Kenny SaiefIyad khalaili
72′			Kenji GorreTsunami
76′			Andrija NovakovichGuy Melamed
77′			Guy Melamed
82′			Pedro BrazãoYair mordechai

Taddi Malcha, Jerusalem

Hapoel Katamon

22%

Draw

23%

Maccabi Haifa

55%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

11	Shots	20
2	Shots on target	12
41	Possession %	59
2	Corners	6
15	Fouls	14
2	Offsides	1
8	Saves	1
218	Accurate passes	504

Hapoel Katamon vs Maccabi Haifa overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Hapoel Katamon vs Maccabi Haifa

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Hapoel Katamon	Draw	Maccabi Haifa
Model	30.1%	22.8%	47.2%
Market	19.3%	22.9%	57.7%
Final	22.0%	22.9%	55.1%
Edge	+2.7%	-0.0%	-2.6%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Maccabi Haifa

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.07 vs 1.64.
Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

97%

2+ goals

89%

3+ goals

72%

No goals

Hapoel Katamon and Maccabi Haifa expected goals

Hapoel Katamon

1.64

Maccabi Haifa

2.07

Total expected goals: 3.72

Hapoel Katamon and Maccabi Haifa attack and defence ratings

Hapoel Katamon

Attack

1.02 +2%

Defence

1.06 +6%

Maccabi Haifa

Attack

1.38 +38%

Defence

1.03 +3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Hapoel Katamon vs Maccabi Haifa: result vs prediction

Hapoel Katamon 1 – 4 Maccabi Haifa

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Ligat Ha'al

Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Petah Tikva — team news & stats · 2026-10-10
Ironi Tiberias v Hapoel Beer Sheva — match page · 2026-10-10
Hapoel Petah Tikva v Maccabi Netanya — match page · 2026-10-10
Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Tel Aviv · 2026-10-10
Maccabi Tel Aviv v Bnei Sakhnin — match page · 2026-10-10
Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Beitar Jerusalem — team news & stats · 2026-10-11

Before and after this match

Hapoel Katamon, previous: Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Katamon: odds and pick
Hapoel Katamon, next: Hapoel Beer Sheva – Hapoel Katamon, 2026-10-18
Maccabi Haifa, previous: Maccabi Haifa – Ironi Tiberias, 2026-09-19
Maccabi Haifa, next: Maccabi Petah Tikva – Maccabi Haifa, 2026-10-17

Hapoel Katamon vs Maccabi Haifa markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Maccabi Haifa	55.1%	1.82	-2.6%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	71.7%	1.39	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	71.3%	1.40	—	—
Double chance	X2 (draw or away)	78.0%	1.28	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	52.8%	1.89	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Hapoel Katamon	22.0%
	Draw	22.9%
	Maccabi Haifa	55.1%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	71.7%
	Under 2.5	28.3%
Both teams to score	Yes	71.3%
	No	28.7%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	44.9%
	12 (either side)	77.1%
	X2 (draw or away)	78.0%
Handicap -1	Maccabi Haifa win	27.8%
	Push (exactly one goal)	19.3%
	Loss	52.8%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	9.1%
	1-2	8.6%
	2-2	7.1%

Hapoel Katamon vs Maccabi Haifa stats

Hapoel Katamon and Maccabi Haifa recent form

newest first

Hapoel Katamon	WDWLLL
Maccabi Haifa	WWWLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Hapoel Katamon and Maccabi Haifa going into this match

league record before kick-off

Hapoel Katamon record

They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Maccabi Haifa record

They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).

Hapoel Katamon vs Maccabi Haifa head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Hapoel Katamon wins 4Draws 4Maccabi Haifa wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-08-17	Maccabi Haifa	Hapoel Katamon	Toto Cup Ligat Al	0-1
2026-02-07	Hapoel Katamon	Maccabi Haifa	Ligat Ha'al	1-1
2025-11-01	Maccabi Haifa	Hapoel Katamon	Ligat Ha'al	2-2
2025-02-17	Maccabi Haifa	Hapoel Katamon	Ligat Ha'al	3-3
2024-11-08	Hapoel Katamon	Maccabi Haifa	Ligat Ha'al	0-0
2024-01-07	Maccabi Haifa	Hapoel Katamon	Ligat Ha'al	2-1
2023-09-03	Hapoel Katamon	Maccabi Haifa	Ligat Ha'al	1-2
2023-05-20	Maccabi Haifa	Hapoel Katamon	Ligat Ha'al	5-0
2023-04-15	Hapoel Katamon	Maccabi Haifa	Ligat Ha'al	2-1
2023-01-15	Maccabi Haifa	Hapoel Katamon	Ligat Ha'al	2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Hapoel Katamon vs Maccabi Haifa odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 19.3%, draw 22.9%, away 57.7%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	4.68	4.10	1.61
Bet365	4.75	3.80	1.55
BetVictor	5.00	4.00	1.55
Betano	4.85	3.95	1.60
Betfair	4.75	4.00	1.53
Dafabet	4.70	4.10	1.60
Marathonbet	4.70	4.10	1.59
Pinnacle	4.69	4.16	1.66
William Hill	4.75	4.00	1.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.75 —

X 4.00 —

2 1.59 ▲ +0.02

12 snapshots recorded, from 2026-10-07T08:10:01Z.