Hapoel Katamon
vs
Maccabi Haifa
Garuda Lions Prediction: Maccabi Haifa
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Hapoel Katamon vs Maccabi Haifa overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Hapoel Katamon vs Maccabi Haifa
| Probability | Hapoel Katamon | Draw | Maccabi Haifa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.7% | 22.9% | 46.4% |
| Market | 19.1% | 22.8% | 58.1% |
| Final | 22.0% | 22.8% | 55.2% |
| Edge | +11.6% | +0.1% | -11.7% |
Why Maccabi Haifa
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.05 vs 1.65.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.61, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Hapoel Katamon vs Maccabi Haifa match preview
Hapoel Katamon faces Maccabi Haifa in a Ligat Ha'al matchup with kickoff scheduled for October 12, 2026. According to our model, Maccabi Haifa has a 55% probability of winning, while Hapoel Katamon stands at 22% and the draw at 23%. The expected goals for Hapoel Katamon is 1.65, compared to Maccabi Haifa's 2.05, indicating a likely competitive encounter. The most probable scoreline is 1-2, occurring with a 9% likelihood.
In terms of recent form, Hapoel Katamon has recorded a win, two draws, and three losses in their last six matches. Conversely, Maccabi Haifa has been in strong form, winning five of their last six games, with one loss. Historical head-to-head results show Hapoel Katamon with 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses against Maccabi Haifa in their last 10 encounters.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Hapoel Katamon and Maccabi Haifa expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.70
Hapoel Katamon and Maccabi Haifa attack and defence ratings
Hapoel Katamon
Maccabi Haifa
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Hapoel Katamon vs Maccabi Haifa markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Maccabi Haifa | 55.2% | 1.81 | -11.7% | 1.61 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.6% | 1.87 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hapoel Katamon | 22.0% |
| Draw | 22.8% | |
| Maccabi Haifa | 55.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 28.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.3% |
| No | 28.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 44.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 78.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Maccabi Haifa win | 27.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.2% | |
| Loss | 53.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.2% |
| 1-2 | 8.6% | |
| 2-2 | 7.1% |
Hapoel Katamon vs Maccabi Haifa stats
Hapoel Katamon and Maccabi Haifa recent form
| Hapoel Katamon |
WDWLLL |
| Maccabi Haifa |
WWWLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Hapoel Katamon and Maccabi Haifa season so far
Hapoel Katamon record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Maccabi Haifa record
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Hapoel Katamon vs Maccabi Haifa head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Maccabi Haifa | Hapoel Katamon | Toto Cup Ligat Al | 0-1 |
| 2026-02-07 | Hapoel Katamon | Maccabi Haifa | Ligat Ha'al | 1-1 |
| 2025-11-01 | Maccabi Haifa | Hapoel Katamon | Ligat Ha'al | 2-2 |
| 2025-02-17 | Maccabi Haifa | Hapoel Katamon | Ligat Ha'al | 3-3 |
| 2024-11-08 | Hapoel Katamon | Maccabi Haifa | Ligat Ha'al | 0-0 |
| 2024-01-07 | Maccabi Haifa | Hapoel Katamon | Ligat Ha'al | 2-1 |
| 2023-09-03 | Hapoel Katamon | Maccabi Haifa | Ligat Ha'al | 1-2 |
| 2023-05-20 | Maccabi Haifa | Hapoel Katamon | Ligat Ha'al | 5-0 |
| 2023-04-15 | Hapoel Katamon | Maccabi Haifa | Ligat Ha'al | 2-1 |
| 2023-01-15 | Maccabi Haifa | Hapoel Katamon | Ligat Ha'al | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Hapoel Katamon vs Maccabi Haifa odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 19.1%, draw 22.8%, away 58.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.91 | 4.20 | 1.57 |
| Bet365 | 4.75 | 3.70 | 1.57 |
| BetVictor | 4.80 | 4.00 | 1.57 |
| Betano | 4.85 | 4.00 | 1.60 |
| Betfair | 4.75 | 4.00 | 1.53 |
| Marathonbet | 4.95 | 4.20 | 1.55 |
| Pinnacle | 4.75 | 4.17 | 1.61 |
| William Hill | 4.75 | 4.00 | 1.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .