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Ligat Ha'al · Full time ·Matchday 5

Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona

1 – 0 Full time

3′Idan Nachmias
7′Alexandre Mussolo Sola
19′Amir Chaim·Ganah
38′Matan Baltaksa
55′Niv Michael GabayAlexandru Pop
55′Shay SabahMor Simantov
56′Pedro Miguel Santos AmadorOfir Davidzada
56′Adrián UgarrizaIgor Zlatanović
64′Hamode KanaanForson Amankwah
64′Amir Chaim·GanahYonas Malede
68′Ariel SheratzkyRufat Abdullazada
76′Mohamad Abu RumiMiguel Vitor
87′Talles CostaNadav Markovitch

Toto Turner Stadium, Beersheba

Hapoel Beer Sheva 61%
Draw 21%
Ironi Kiryat Shmona 18%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

15 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 2
62 Possession % 38
6 Corners 5
15 Fouls 17
1 Offsides 5
2 Saves 4
579 Accurate passes 265

Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHapoel Beer ShevaDrawIroni Kiryat Shmona
Model47.8%24.0%28.2%
Market65.5%20.0%14.5%
Final61.1%21.0%17.9%
Edge-17.7%+4.0%+13.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Hapoel Beer Sheva

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.92 vs 1.45.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Hapoel Beer Sh ↓ / Ironi Kiryat S → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 11% 7% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 86%
3+ goals 66%
No goals 4%

Hapoel Beer Sheva and Ironi Kiryat Shmona expected goals

Hapoel Beer Sheva 1.92
Ironi Kiryat Shmona 1.45

Total expected goals: 3.37

Hapoel Beer Sheva and Ironi Kiryat Shmona attack and defence ratings

Hapoel Beer Sheva

Attack 1.05 +5%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Ironi Kiryat Shmona

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 1.16 +16%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona: result vs prediction

Hapoel Beer Sheva 1 – 0 Ironi Kiryat Shmona

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Ligat Ha'al

Before and after this match

Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Hapoel Beer Sheva 61.1% 1.64 -17.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 65.7% 1.52 — —
Both teams to score Yes 66.4% 1.51 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 82.1% 1.22 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 52.4% 1.91 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Hapoel Beer Sheva61.1%
Draw21.0%
Ironi Kiryat Shmona17.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.565.7%
Under 2.534.3%
Both teams to scoreYes66.4%
No33.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)82.1%
12 (either side)79.0%
X2 (draw or away)38.9%
Handicap -1Hapoel Beer Sheva win27.4%
Push (exactly one goal)20.2%
Loss52.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.5%
2-19.2%
1-26.9%

Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona stats

Hapoel Beer Sheva and Ironi Kiryat Shmona recent form

newest first
Hapoel Beer Sheva DWLDWL
Ironi Kiryat Shmona LLWLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

7Hapoel Beer Sheva wins 2Draws 1Ironi Kiryat Shmona wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-24Hapoel Beer ShevaIroni Kiryat ShmonaLigat Ha'al3-2
2025-10-18Ironi Kiryat ShmonaHapoel Beer ShevaLigat Ha'al1-0
2024-12-14Hapoel Beer ShevaIroni Kiryat ShmonaLigat Ha'al5-1
2024-08-26Ironi Kiryat ShmonaHapoel Beer ShevaLigat Ha'al0-1
2023-03-12Hapoel Beer ShevaIroni Kiryat ShmonaLigat Ha'al2-1
2022-11-13Ironi Kiryat ShmonaHapoel Beer ShevaLigat Ha'al0-2
2022-02-19Hapoel Beer ShevaIroni Kiryat ShmonaLigat Ha'al0-0
2021-11-27Ironi Kiryat ShmonaHapoel Beer ShevaLigat Ha'al1-2
2021-05-23Hapoel Beer ShevaIroni Kiryat ShmonaLigat Ha'al3-2
2021-04-10Ironi Kiryat ShmonaHapoel Beer ShevaLigat Ha'al1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 64.9%, draw 20.3%, away 14.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.41 4.65 6.42
Bet365 1.40 4.20 5.75
BetVictor 1.40 4.40 6.50
Betano 1.47 4.45 5.80
Betfair 1.36 4.40 6.00
Marathonbet 1.40 4.65 6.35
Pinnacle 1.44 4.85 6.33
William Hill 1.36 4.50 6.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.40 ▼ -0.02
X 4.58 ▲ +0.05
2 6.34 ▲ +0.34

10 snapshots recorded, from .