Premijer Liga · Full time ·Matchday 9

Borac Banja Luka vs BSK Banja Luka

2 – 0 Full time

54′L. Juricic
61′D. VukovicO. Sijaric
61′A. MilakS. Savic
61′A. RoguljicM. Deket
64′O. RadosevicN. Antesevic
64′D. CulinaS. Ristic
72′V. RoganB. Cipetic
75′A. SubicM. Savic
75′S. MarceticM. Kovacevic
78′M. Deket
79′L. JuricicK. Peric
82′D. CavicD. Dizdarevic

Gradski stadion Banja Luka, Banja LukaReferee: D. Maric

Borac Banja Luka 83%
Draw 12%
BSK Banja Luka 6%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Borac Banja Luka vs BSK Banja Luka overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Borac Banja Luka vs BSK Banja Luka

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBorac Banja LukaDrawBSK Banja Luka
Model73.4%15.5%11.1%
Market85.9%10.4%3.7%
Final82.8%11.7%5.5%
Edge-3.1%+1.3%+1.8%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Borac Banja Luka

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.91 vs 1.12.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Borac Banja Lu ↓ / BSK Banja Luka → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 2 8% 8% 3 7% 8% 4+ 11% 12% 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 92%
3+ goals 77%
No goals 2%

Borac Banja Luka and BSK Banja Luka expected goals

Borac Banja Luka 2.91
BSK Banja Luka 1.12

Total expected goals: 4.03

Borac Banja Luka and BSK Banja Luka attack and defence ratings

Borac Banja Luka

Attack 1.51 +51%
Defence 0.95 -5%

BSK Banja Luka

Attack 1.31 +31%
Defence 1.44 +44%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Borac Banja Luka vs BSK Banja Luka: result vs prediction

Borac Banja Luka 2 – 0 BSK Banja Luka

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Premijer Liga

Before and after this match

Borac Banja Luka vs BSK Banja Luka markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Borac Banja Luka 82.8% 1.21 -3.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 76.6% 1.31 — —
Both teams to score Yes 64.3% 1.56 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 94.5% 1.06 — —
Handicap -1 Borac Banja Luka win 54.3% 1.84 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Borac Banja Luka82.8%
Draw11.7%
BSK Banja Luka5.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.576.6%
Under 2.523.4%
Both teams to scoreYes64.3%
No35.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)94.5%
12 (either side)88.3%
X2 (draw or away)17.2%
Handicap -1Borac Banja Luka win54.3%
Push (exactly one goal)19.1%
Loss26.6%
Correct score (top 3)2-18.4%
3-18.2%
2-07.5%

Borac Banja Luka vs BSK Banja Luka stats

Borac Banja Luka and BSK Banja Luka recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Borac Banja Luka and BSK Banja Luka going into this match

league record before kick-off

Borac Banja Luka record

  • They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.

BSK Banja Luka record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.

Borac Banja Luka vs BSK Banja Luka head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Borac Banja Luka vs BSK Banja Luka odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 85.9%, draw 10.4%, away 3.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.05 8.70 19.00
Bet365 1.10 8.50 21.00
Betano 1.11 6.70 28.00
Betfair 1.04 11.00 51.00
Dafabet 1.07 9.80 25.00
Marathonbet 1.05 8.70 19.00
Pinnacle 1.05 9.49 24.45

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.05 ▼ -0.18
X 8.70 ▲ +3.20
2 24.45 ▲ +13.95

10 snapshots recorded, from .