Garuda Lions
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Premijer Liga Β· Β·Matchday 9

Borac Banja Luka vs BSK Banja Luka

Garuda Lions Prediction: Borac Banja Luka

2 – 1 Predicted score Β· 8% model probability

Bet on Borac Banja Luka

Gradski stadion Banja Luka, Banja Luka

Borac Banja Luka 80%
Draw 12%
BSK Banja Luka 7%

Confidence: Low  Β·  blended with market odds

Chance Borac Banja Luka wins
80%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
98%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
64%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
8% of simulated outcomes

Borac Banja Luka vs BSK Banja Luka overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Borac Banja Luka vs BSK Banja Luka

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBorac Banja LukaDrawBSK Banja Luka
Model73.3%15.6%11.1%
Market82.9%11.2%6.0%
Final80.5%12.3%7.2%
Edge-9.5%+4.4%+5.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Borac Banja Luka

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.91 vs 1.12.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Best available price on the pick: 1.14, recorded β€” the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.

Borac Banja Luka vs BSK Banja Luka match preview

Borac Banja Luka is favored to win against BSK Banja Luka, with a 75% probability of victory compared to BSK's 9%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, occurring with an 8% probability. Borac has shown strong recent form, winning three of their last five matches, while BSK has struggled, managing only one win in their last five outings.

In terms of expected goals, Borac Banja Luka is projected to score 2.90, significantly higher than BSK Banja Luka's expected 1.12. There is a 76% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match, and a 64% probability that both teams will score. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in these predictions.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Borac Banja Lu ↓ / BSK Banja Luka β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 2 8% 8% 3 7% 8% 4+ 11% 12% 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 92%
3+ goals 77%
No goals 2%

Borac Banja Luka and BSK Banja Luka expected goals

Borac Banja Luka 2.91
BSK Banja Luka 1.12

Total expected goals: 4.03

Borac Banja Luka and BSK Banja Luka attack and defence ratings

Borac Banja Luka

Attack 1.51 +51%
Defence 0.95 -5%

BSK Banja Luka

Attack 1.31 +31%
Defence 1.44 +44%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Premijer Liga

Before and after this match

Borac Banja Luka vs BSK Banja Luka markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Borac Banja Luka 80.5% 1.24 -9.5% 1.14
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 76.5% 1.31 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 64.2% 1.56 β€” β€”
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 92.8% 1.08 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Borac Banja Luka win 54.3% 1.84 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Borac Banja Luka80.5%
Draw12.3%
BSK Banja Luka7.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.576.5%
Under 2.523.5%
Both teams to scoreYes64.2%
No35.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)92.8%
12 (either side)87.7%
X2 (draw or away)19.5%
Handicap -1Borac Banja Luka win54.3%
Push (exactly one goal)19.1%
Loss26.6%
Correct score (top 3)2-18.4%
3-18.2%
2-07.6%
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Borac Banja Luka vs BSK Banja Luka stats

Borac Banja Luka and BSK Banja Luka recent form

newest first
Borac Banja Luka WWWLWD
BSK Banja Luka DDWLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Borac Banja Luka and BSK Banja Luka season so far

league record

Borac Banja Luka record

  • They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.

BSK Banja Luka record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.

Borac Banja Luka vs BSK Banja Luka head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards β€” these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Borac Banja Luka vs BSK Banja Luka odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 82.9%, draw 11.2%, away 6.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.08 8.00 14.70
Bet365 1.14 7.00 15.00
Betano 1.14 6.80 14.50
Betfair 1.06 9.50 31.00
Dafabet 1.13 7.60 16.00
Marathonbet 1.08 8.00 14.75
Pinnacle 1.08 9.41 24.29
Find the best place to bet

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.08 β–Ό -0.15
X 8.00 β–² +2.50
2 15.00 β–² +4.50

8 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 Borac Banja Luka Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
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