Premijer Liga · Full time ·Matchday 8

BSK Banja Luka vs Radnik Bijeljina

4 – 4 Full time

14′D. Teodorovic
24′A. Konate
34′B. DimitricA. Markovic
38′S. Marcetic
40′D. Teodorovic
45′M. Sukilovic
52′M. Andacic
58′A. Markovic
59′A. Subic
65′D. Teodorovic
67′V. BradonjicT. B. Laus
72′Z. Kvrzic
72′T. B. Laus
72′S. Radovic
77′D. TeodorovicA. Ijoma
81′S. Radovic
81′S. Radovic
85′A. Ijoma
90′S. Marcetic
90′BSK Banja Luka
90′O. Radosevic

Stadion Caire, Banja LukaReferee: D. Todic

BSK Banja Luka 44%
Draw 28%
Radnik Bijeljina 28%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

BSK Banja Luka vs Radnik Bijeljina overview

Garuda Lions analysis: BSK Banja Luka vs Radnik Bijeljina

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBSK Banja LukaDrawRadnik Bijeljina
Model63.3%22.1%14.7%
Market38.2%30.0%31.9%
Final44.5%28.0%27.6%
Edge+25.1%-7.9%-17.2%

Confidence: Low

Why BSK Banja Luka

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.08 vs 0.92.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices BSK Banja Luka below the model: +25.1 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

BSK Banja Luka ↓ / Radnik Bijelji → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 9% 10% 2 11% 10% 3 7% 7% 4+ 6% 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 81%
3+ goals 58%
No goals 6%

BSK Banja Luka and Radnik Bijeljina expected goals

BSK Banja Luka 2.08
Radnik Bijeljina 0.92

Total expected goals: 2.99

BSK Banja Luka and Radnik Bijeljina attack and defence ratings

BSK Banja Luka

Attack 1.05 +5%
Defence 1.20 +20%

Radnik Bijeljina

Attack 0.87 -13%
Defence 1.50 +50%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

BSK Banja Luka vs Radnik Bijeljina: result vs prediction

BSK Banja Luka 4 – 4 Radnik Bijeljina

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Premijer Liga

Before and after this match

BSK Banja Luka vs Radnik Bijeljina markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 BSK Banja Luka 44.5% 2.25 +25.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 57.5% 1.74 — —
Both teams to score Yes 53.4% 1.87 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 72.4% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 BSK Banja Luka win 40.2% 2.49 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2BSK Banja Luka44.5%
Draw28.0%
Radnik Bijeljina27.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.557.5%
Under 2.542.5%
Both teams to scoreYes53.4%
No46.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)72.4%
12 (either side)72.0%
X2 (draw or away)55.5%
Handicap -1BSK Banja Luka win40.2%
Push (exactly one goal)23.1%
Loss36.7%
Correct score (top 3)2-010.8%
1-110.5%
2-19.9%

BSK Banja Luka vs Radnik Bijeljina stats

BSK Banja Luka and Radnik Bijeljina recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

BSK Banja Luka and Radnik Bijeljina going into this match

league record before kick-off

BSK Banja Luka record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.

Radnik Bijeljina record

  • They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.

BSK Banja Luka vs Radnik Bijeljina head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0BSK Banja Luka wins 1Draws 1Radnik Bijeljina wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-04-14Radnik BijeljinaBSK Banja Luka1st League - RS3-1
2023-09-23BSK Banja LukaRadnik Bijeljina1st League - RS1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

BSK Banja Luka vs Radnik Bijeljina odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 38.2%, draw 30.0%, away 31.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.38 2.97 2.86
Bet365 2.15 3.20 3.00
Betano 2.42 3.05 2.87
Betfair 2.30 3.00 2.80
Marathonbet 2.36 2.97 2.79
Pinnacle 2.45 3.04 2.82

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.37 ▲ +0.02
X 3.02 ▲ +0.02
2 2.84 ▼ -0.16

9 snapshots recorded, from .