Premijer Liga · Full time ·Matchday 7

Siroki Brijeg vs BSK Banja Luka

1 – 1 Full time

9′L. Guedes
31′D. Cavic
46′F. JelcicI. Jelic
65′C. A. DioufB. Eric
69′S. MarjanovicN. Runic
71′L. GuedesK. Sesar
82′M. Kordic-GruzicM. Hrkac
82′M. BaracL. Romac
84′A. Subic
90′I. KrstanovicM. Soldo
90′N. KeranovicD. Gavric

Stadion PecaraReferee: D. Maric

Siroki Brijeg 54%
Draw 26%
BSK Banja Luka 20%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Siroki Brijeg vs BSK Banja Luka overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Siroki Brijeg vs BSK Banja Luka

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySiroki BrijegDrawBSK Banja Luka
Model53.0%25.2%21.8%
Market54.5%26.5%19.0%
Final54.2%26.1%19.7%
Edge-1.5%-1.3%+2.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Siroki Brijeg

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.82 vs 1.10.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Siroki Brijeg ↓ / BSK Banja Luka → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 9% 12% 6% 2 9% 10% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 56%
No goals 6%

Siroki Brijeg and BSK Banja Luka expected goals

Siroki Brijeg 1.82
BSK Banja Luka 1.10

Total expected goals: 2.92

Siroki Brijeg and BSK Banja Luka attack and defence ratings

Siroki Brijeg

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 1.17 +17%

BSK Banja Luka

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 1.23 +23%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Siroki Brijeg vs BSK Banja Luka: result vs prediction

Siroki Brijeg 1 – 1 BSK Banja Luka

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Premijer Liga

Before and after this match

Siroki Brijeg vs BSK Banja Luka markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Siroki Brijeg 54.2% 1.85 -1.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 55.8% 1.79 — —
Both teams to score Yes 57.0% 1.75 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 80.3% 1.25 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 47.0% 2.13 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Siroki Brijeg54.2%
Draw26.1%
BSK Banja Luka19.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.555.8%
Under 2.544.2%
Both teams to scoreYes57.0%
No43.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)80.3%
12 (either side)73.9%
X2 (draw or away)45.8%
Handicap -1Siroki Brijeg win30.6%
Push (exactly one goal)22.4%
Loss47.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.9%
2-19.8%
2-08.9%

Siroki Brijeg vs BSK Banja Luka stats

Siroki Brijeg and BSK Banja Luka recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Siroki Brijeg and BSK Banja Luka going into this match

league record before kick-off

Siroki Brijeg record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.

BSK Banja Luka record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.

Siroki Brijeg vs BSK Banja Luka head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Siroki Brijeg vs BSK Banja Luka odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 54.5%, draw 26.5%, away 19.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.65 3.44 4.93
Bet365 1.65 3.40 4.75
Betano 1.70 3.40 4.75
Betfair 1.67 3.50 4.60
Marathonbet 1.63 3.44 4.85
Pinnacle 1.67 3.49 4.82
William Hill 1.67 3.25 4.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.67 —
X 3.44 ▲ +0.02
2 4.80 ▼ -0.01

4 snapshots recorded, from .