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Premijer Liga · Full time ·Matchday 7

Čelik vs Radnik Bijeljina

3 – 2 Full time

9′A. Masic
26′A. Masic
31′H. Sabanovic
39′D. Teodorovic
46′T. RusheshaM. Andacic
46′N. TomasevicE. Sivac
46′H. SabanovicN. Smajlovic
50′D. Teodorovic
52′M. Andacic
58′A. Masic
60′E. Sivac
61′O. SarkicH. Vardo
61′M. SukilovicV. Bradonjic
61′J. AmoahE. Sieh
66′S. FarajM. Popovic
86′B. Meyapya

Bilino Polje, ZenicaReferee: J. Martinovic

Čelik 51%
Draw 27%
Radnik Bijeljina 22%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Čelik vs Radnik Bijeljina overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Čelik vs Radnik Bijeljina

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityČelikDrawRadnik Bijeljina
Model64.4%22.6%12.9%
Market45.9%28.8%25.3%
Final50.5%27.3%22.2%
Edge+18.6%-6.2%-12.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Čelik

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.97 vs 0.78.
  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Čelik below the model: +18.6 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Čelik ↓ / Radnik Bijelji → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 12% 11% 2 12% 10% 3 8% 6% 4+ 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 52%
No goals 7%

Čelik and Radnik Bijeljina expected goals

Čelik 1.97
Radnik Bijeljina 0.78

Total expected goals: 2.75

Čelik and Radnik Bijeljina attack and defence ratings

Čelik

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 1.19 +19%

Radnik Bijeljina

Attack 0.74 -26%
Defence 1.42 +42%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Čelik vs Radnik Bijeljina: result vs prediction

Čelik 3 – 2 Radnik Bijeljina

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Premijer Liga

Before and after this match

Čelik vs Radnik Bijeljina markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Čelik 50.5% 1.98 +18.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 51.9% 1.93 — —
Both teams to score No 52.4% 1.91 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 77.8% 1.29 — —
Handicap -1 Čelik win 40.4% 2.48 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Čelik50.5%
Draw27.3%
Radnik Bijeljina22.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551.9%
Under 2.548.1%
Both teams to scoreYes47.6%
No52.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)77.8%
12 (either side)72.7%
X2 (draw or away)49.5%
Handicap -1Čelik win40.4%
Push (exactly one goal)24.1%
Loss35.6%
Correct score (top 3)2-012.4%
1-011.6%
1-110.8%

Čelik vs Radnik Bijeljina stats

Čelik and Radnik Bijeljina recent form

newest first
Čelik LDWLLL
Radnik Bijeljina LDDLLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Čelik and Radnik Bijeljina going into this match

league record before kick-off

Čelik record

  • They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Radnik Bijeljina record

  • They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.

Čelik vs Radnik Bijeljina head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Čelik wins 4Draws 3Radnik Bijeljina wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2023-02-19ČelikRadnik BijeljinaCup0-0
2020-03-01ČelikRadnik BijeljinaPremijer Liga1-1
2019-09-25Radnik BijeljinaČelikPremijer Liga2-1
2019-04-06Radnik BijeljinaČelikPremijer Liga0-0
2018-11-03ČelikRadnik BijeljinaPremijer Liga1-0
2018-08-15Radnik BijeljinaČelikPremijer Liga0-0
2017-11-18Radnik BijeljinaČelikPremijer Liga3-1
2017-08-13ČelikRadnik BijeljinaPremijer Liga3-0
2016-10-23ČelikRadnik BijeljinaPremijer Liga0-1
2016-07-31Radnik BijeljinaČelikPremijer Liga2-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Čelik vs Radnik Bijeljina odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 47.2%, draw 29.0%, away 23.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.85 3.20 4.00
1xBet 1.95 3.12 3.76
888Sport 1.91 2.90 3.90
Bet365 2.00 3.10 3.40
BetVictor 1.83 2.88 3.25
Betano 1.93 3.20 3.85
Betfair 1.85 3.30 4.00
Dafabet 1.92 3.25 4.00
Marathonbet 1.93 3.12 3.68
Pinnacle 1.96 3.12 3.83
Superbet 1.90 3.15 3.80
Unibet 1.83 3.10 3.75
William Hill 2.05 3.00 3.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.96 ▲ +0.12
X 3.11 ▼ -0.19
2 3.54 ▼ -0.56

4 snapshots recorded, from .