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Premijer Liga · Full time ·Matchday 6

BSK Banja Luka vs Čelik

3 – 2 Full time

28′A. Hrvanovic
38′D. DizdarevicA. Subic
46′H. SabanovicE. Sivac
53′D. Cavic
54′A. HrvanovicD. Sijamija
68′A. MasicD. Vidic
73′O. Radosevic
75′B. JenjicA. Mohedano
75′F. GogicO. Sarkic
79′B. EricM. Bundalo
79′D. Sijamija
85′M. Bundalo
90′S. MarceticS. Ristic
90′N. Keranovic

Stadion Caire, Banja LukaReferee: A. Efendic

BSK Banja Luka 37%
Draw 31%
Čelik 32%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

BSK Banja Luka vs Čelik overview

Garuda Lions analysis: BSK Banja Luka vs Čelik

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBSK Banja LukaDrawČelik
Model36.4%32.7%30.8%
Market36.6%30.3%33.0%
Final36.6%30.9%32.5%
Edge-0.2%+2.4%-2.2%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

BSK Banja Luka ↓ / Čelik → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 14% 11% 1 12% 15% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 86%
2+ goals 63%
3+ goals 35%
No goals 14%

BSK Banja Luka and Čelik expected goals

BSK Banja Luka 1.10
Čelik 0.99

Total expected goals: 2.08

BSK Banja Luka and Čelik attack and defence ratings

BSK Banja Luka

Attack 0.85 -15%
Defence 1.18 +18%

Čelik

Attack 0.96 -4%
Defence 0.99 -1%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

BSK Banja Luka vs Čelik: result vs prediction

BSK Banja Luka 3 – 2 Čelik

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Premijer Liga

Before and after this match

BSK Banja Luka vs Čelik markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 BSK Banja Luka 36.6% 2.73 -0.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 65.4% 1.53 — —
Both teams to score No 56.9% 1.76 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 69.1% 1.45 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 63.6% 1.57 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2BSK Banja Luka36.6%
Draw30.9%
Čelik32.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.534.6%
Under 2.565.4%
Both teams to scoreYes43.1%
No56.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)67.5%
12 (either side)69.1%
X2 (draw or away)63.4%
Handicap -1BSK Banja Luka win15.3%
Push (exactly one goal)21.1%
Loss63.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.8%
0-013.8%
1-012.3%

BSK Banja Luka vs Čelik stats

BSK Banja Luka and Čelik recent form

newest first
BSK Banja Luka LLLWL
Čelik DWLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.

BSK Banja Luka and Čelik going into this match

league record before kick-off

BSK Banja Luka record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.

Čelik record

  • They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

BSK Banja Luka vs Čelik head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

BSK Banja Luka vs Čelik odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 36.5%, draw 30.2%, away 33.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.46 2.96 2.73
Bet365 2.35 3.10 2.70
Dafabet 2.55 3.30 2.60
Marathonbet 2.46 2.96 2.73
Pinnacle 2.50 2.98 2.81
Unibet 2.50 3.00 2.43

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.46 ▼ -0.04
X 2.97 ▼ -0.28
2 2.73 ▲ +0.18

3 snapshots recorded, from .