Premijer Liga · Full time ·Matchday 5

Zrinjski vs BSK Banja Luka

3 – 1 Full time

47′N. Bilbija
54′M. Cuze
57′M. CuzeI. Savic
66′G. Karacic
76′K. AbramovicI. Vidovic
79′V. Grbic
80′D. CulinaN. Antesevic
80′J. LjubicS. Ristic
88′A. Ilic
89′A. IlicK. Stapic
89′V. GrbicH. Ljukovac
90′I. Savic
90′M. RadicF. Bezdrob

Stadion pod Bijelim Brijegom, MostarReferee: A. Music

Zrinjski 75%
Draw 18%
BSK Banja Luka 8%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Zrinjski vs BSK Banja Luka overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Zrinjski vs BSK Banja Luka

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityZrinjskiDrawBSK Banja Luka
Model69.0%22.0%8.9%
Market76.6%16.3%7.1%
Final74.7%17.7%7.6%
Edge-7.6%+5.7%+1.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Zrinjski

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.91 vs 0.55.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Zrinjski ↓ / BSK Banja Luka → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 1 15% 10% 2 16% 9% 3 10% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 71%
3+ goals 45%
No goals 9%

Zrinjski and BSK Banja Luka expected goals

Zrinjski 1.91
BSK Banja Luka 0.55

Total expected goals: 2.46

Zrinjski and BSK Banja Luka attack and defence ratings

Zrinjski

Attack 1.54 +54%
Defence 0.75 -25%

BSK Banja Luka

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Zrinjski vs BSK Banja Luka: result vs prediction

Zrinjski 3 – 1 BSK Banja Luka

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Premijer Liga

Before and after this match

Zrinjski vs BSK Banja Luka markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Zrinjski 74.7% 1.34 -7.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 55.5% 1.80 — —
Both teams to score No 63.1% 1.59 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 92.4% 1.08 — —
Handicap -1 Zrinjski win 43.4% 2.30 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Zrinjski74.7%
Draw17.7%
BSK Banja Luka7.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.544.5%
Under 2.555.5%
Both teams to scoreYes36.9%
No63.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)92.4%
12 (either side)82.3%
X2 (draw or away)25.3%
Handicap -1Zrinjski win43.4%
Push (exactly one goal)25.6%
Loss30.9%
Correct score (top 3)2-015.6%
1-015.5%
1-19.9%

Zrinjski vs BSK Banja Luka stats

Zrinjski and BSK Banja Luka recent form

newest first
Zrinjski WWWWDL
BSK Banja Luka LLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Zrinjski and BSK Banja Luka going into this match

league record before kick-off

Zrinjski record

  • They have won 5 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.

BSK Banja Luka record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.

Zrinjski vs BSK Banja Luka head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Zrinjski vs BSK Banja Luka odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 76.6%, draw 16.3%, away 7.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.20 5.00 15.00
1xBet 1.18 5.60 13.10
Bet365 1.18 5.50 13.00
Betano 1.22 5.40 11.75
Betfair 1.18 5.50 12.00
Dafabet 1.20 5.80 13.00
Marathonbet 1.17 5.60 12.50
Pinnacle 1.18 5.89 13.40
Superbet 1.18 5.60 11.00
Unibet 1.16 5.40 11.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.18 ▼ -0.13
X 5.55 ▲ +1.10
2 12.75 ▲ +4.55

2 snapshots recorded, from .