Premijer Liga
·
Full time
·Matchday 4
FK Sarajevo
vs
Zrinjski
0 – 1 Full time
FK Sarajevo
38%
Draw
30%
Zrinjski
32%
FK Sarajevo vs Zrinjski overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FK Sarajevo vs Zrinjski
| Probability | FK Sarajevo | Draw | Zrinjski |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.0% | 30.0% | 32.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 38.0% | 30.0% | 32.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
90%
2+ goals
71%
3+ goals
44%
No goals
10%
FK Sarajevo and Zrinjski expected goals
FK Sarajevo
1.28
Zrinjski
1.15
Total expected goals: 2.43
FK Sarajevo and Zrinjski attack and defence ratings
FK Sarajevo
Attack
1.22 +22%
Defence
0.82 -18%
Zrinjski
Attack
1.61 +61%
Defence
0.81 -19%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
FK Sarajevo vs Zrinjski: result vs prediction
FK Sarajevo 0 – 1 Zrinjski
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
FK Sarajevo vs Zrinjski markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FK Sarajevo | 38.0% | 2.63 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.6% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.0% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.9% | 1.62 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FK Sarajevo | 38.0% |
| Draw | 30.0% | |
| Zrinjski | 32.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.6% |
| No | 49.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | FK Sarajevo win | 17.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.5% | |
| Loss | 61.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 0-0 | 10.1% | |
| 1-0 | 9.9% |
FK Sarajevo vs Zrinjski stats
FK Sarajevo and Zrinjski recent form
| FK Sarajevo |
WDLDWW |
| Zrinjski |
WWWDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FK Sarajevo and Zrinjski going into this match
FK Sarajevo record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Zrinjski record
- They have won 5 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
FK Sarajevo vs Zrinjski head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
2FK Sarajevo wins
1Draws
1Zrinjski wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | FK Sarajevo | Zrinjski | Premijer Liga | 2-1 |
| 2025-12-14 | Zrinjski | FK Sarajevo | Premijer Liga | 0-1 |
| 2025-10-06 | FK Sarajevo | Zrinjski | Premijer Liga | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-10 | Zrinjski | FK Sarajevo | Premijer Liga | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.