Premijer Liga
·
Full time
·Matchday 4
BSK Banja Luka
vs
Sloga Doboj
0 – 1 Full time
BSK Banja Luka
58%
Draw
30%
Sloga Doboj
12%
BSK Banja Luka vs Sloga Doboj overview
Garuda Lions analysis: BSK Banja Luka vs Sloga Doboj
| Probability | BSK Banja Luka | Draw | Sloga Doboj |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.9% | 30.1% | 11.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 57.9% | 30.1% | 11.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why BSK Banja Luka
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.37 vs 0.47.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
83%
2+ goals
56%
3+ goals
28%
No goals
17%
BSK Banja Luka and Sloga Doboj expected goals
BSK Banja Luka
1.37
Sloga Doboj
0.47
Total expected goals: 1.84
BSK Banja Luka and Sloga Doboj attack and defence ratings
BSK Banja Luka
Attack
0.96 -4%
Defence
0.96 -4%
Sloga Doboj
Attack
0.57 -43%
Defence
1.09 +9%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
BSK Banja Luka vs Sloga Doboj: result vs prediction
BSK Banja Luka 0 – 1 Sloga Doboj
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
BSK Banja Luka vs Sloga Doboj markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | BSK Banja Luka | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 70.7% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.1% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 41.8% | 2.39 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | BSK Banja Luka | 57.9% |
| Draw | 30.1% | |
| Sloga Doboj | 11.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 28.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 72.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 29.3% |
| No | 70.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | BSK Banja Luka win | 29.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 28.5% | |
| Loss | 41.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 20.6% |
| 0-0 | 16.9% | |
| 2-0 | 14.7% |
BSK Banja Luka vs Sloga Doboj stats
BSK Banja Luka and Sloga Doboj recent form
| BSK Banja Luka |
LWL |
| Sloga Doboj |
LDWWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.
BSK Banja Luka and Sloga Doboj going into this match
BSK Banja Luka record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.