Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
vs
Siroki Brijeg
1 – 1 Full time
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Siroki Brijeg overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Siroki Brijeg
| Probability | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | Draw | Siroki Brijeg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.7% | 31.0% | 26.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 42.7% | 31.0% | 26.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.28 vs 0.94.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo and Siroki Brijeg expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.23
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo and Siroki Brijeg attack and defence ratings
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Siroki Brijeg
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Siroki Brijeg: result vs prediction
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 1 – 1 Siroki Brijeg
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Siroki Brijeg markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | 42.7% | 2.34 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.5% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.8% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | 42.7% |
| Draw | 31.0% | |
| Siroki Brijeg | 26.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.5% |
| No | 54.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo win | 20.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.8% | |
| Loss | 57.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 1-0 | 12.5% | |
| 0-0 | 12.1% |
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Siroki Brijeg stats
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo and Siroki Brijeg recent form
| Zeljeznicar Sarajevo |
LWLDLW |
| Siroki Brijeg |
WWDWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo and Siroki Brijeg going into this match
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Siroki Brijeg record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Siroki Brijeg head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-21 | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | Siroki Brijeg | Premijer Liga | 2-2 |
| 2026-03-22 | Siroki Brijeg | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | Premijer Liga | 1-1 |
| 2025-12-04 | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | Siroki Brijeg | Premijer Liga | 3-3 |
| 2025-09-21 | Siroki Brijeg | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | Premijer Liga | 1-0 |
| 2025-05-18 | Siroki Brijeg | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | Premijer Liga | 3-2 |
| 2025-04-16 | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | Siroki Brijeg | Cup | 1-0 |
| 2025-04-02 | Siroki Brijeg | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | Cup | 3-0 |
| 2024-11-03 | Siroki Brijeg | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | Premijer Liga | 0-3 |
| 2024-08-03 | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | Siroki Brijeg | Premijer Liga | 0-1 |
| 2024-04-23 | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | Siroki Brijeg | Premijer Liga | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.