Siroki Brijeg
vs
Radnik Bijeljina
2 – 1 Full time
Siroki Brijeg vs Radnik Bijeljina overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Siroki Brijeg vs Radnik Bijeljina
| Probability | Siroki Brijeg | Draw | Radnik Bijeljina |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 68.6% | 22.5% | 8.9% |
| Market | 43.8% | 33.6% | 22.7% |
| Final | 50.0% | 30.8% | 19.2% |
| Edge | +24.8% | -11.1% | -13.7% |
Why Siroki Brijeg
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.86 vs 0.53.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Siroki Brijeg below the model: +24.8 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Siroki Brijeg and Radnik Bijeljina expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.40
Siroki Brijeg and Radnik Bijeljina attack and defence ratings
Siroki Brijeg
Radnik Bijeljina
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Siroki Brijeg vs Radnik Bijeljina: result vs prediction
Siroki Brijeg 2 – 1 Radnik Bijeljina
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Siroki Brijeg vs Radnik Bijeljina markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Siroki Brijeg | 50.0% | 2.00 | +24.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Siroki Brijeg win | 42.6% | 2.35 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Siroki Brijeg | 50.0% |
| Draw | 30.8% | |
| Radnik Bijeljina | 19.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 35.9% |
| No | 64.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Siroki Brijeg win | 42.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.0% | |
| Loss | 31.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 16.0% |
| 2-0 | 15.8% | |
| 0-0 | 10.0% |
Siroki Brijeg vs Radnik Bijeljina stats
Siroki Brijeg and Radnik Bijeljina recent form
| Siroki Brijeg |
WDWDDL |
| Radnik Bijeljina |
LDLDDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Siroki Brijeg and Radnik Bijeljina going into this match
Siroki Brijeg record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Radnik Bijeljina record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
Siroki Brijeg vs Radnik Bijeljina head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-25 | Siroki Brijeg | Radnik Bijeljina | Premijer Liga | 4-0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Radnik Bijeljina | Siroki Brijeg | Premijer Liga | 2-0 |
| 2025-12-08 | Siroki Brijeg | Radnik Bijeljina | Premijer Liga | 1-3 |
| 2025-09-26 | Radnik Bijeljina | Siroki Brijeg | Premijer Liga | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Siroki Brijeg vs Radnik Bijeljina odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.8%, draw 33.6%, away 22.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.10 | 2.61 | 4.16 |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 2.38 | 3.60 |
| BetVictor | 1.90 | 2.70 | 3.30 |
| Betano | 2.07 | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 2.70 | 3.90 |
| Dafabet | 2.07 | 2.80 | 4.10 |
| Marathonbet | 2.08 | 2.61 | 4.05 |
| Pinnacle | 2.11 | 2.59 | 4.32 |
| Superbet | 2.05 | 2.77 | 3.90 |
| Unibet | 1.98 | 2.55 | 4.20 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 2.75 | 3.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .