Borac Banja Luka
vs
Čelik
2 – 0 Full time
Borac Banja Luka vs Čelik overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Borac Banja Luka vs Čelik
| Probability | Borac Banja Luka | Draw | Čelik |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 69.1% | 19.8% | 11.1% |
| Market | 77.2% | 15.3% | 7.5% |
| Final | 75.2% | 16.4% | 8.4% |
| Edge | -8.1% | +4.5% | +3.5% |
Why Borac Banja Luka
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.23 vs 0.80.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Borac Banja Luka and Čelik expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.03
Borac Banja Luka and Čelik attack and defence ratings
Borac Banja Luka
Čelik
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Borac Banja Luka vs Čelik: result vs prediction
Borac Banja Luka 2 – 0 Čelik
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Borac Banja Luka vs Čelik markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Borac Banja Luka | 75.2% | 1.33 | -8.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.3% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.6% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Borac Banja Luka win | 46.2% | 2.16 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Borac Banja Luka | 75.2% |
| Draw | 16.4% | |
| Čelik | 8.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.9% |
| No | 50.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 83.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 24.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Borac Banja Luka win | 46.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.8% | |
| Loss | 30.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 12.0% |
| 1-0 | 9.9% | |
| 2-1 | 9.6% |
Borac Banja Luka vs Čelik stats
Borac Banja Luka and Čelik recent form
| Borac Banja Luka |
WLWWDW |
| Čelik |
LL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Borac Banja Luka and Čelik going into this match
Čelik record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Borac Banja Luka vs Čelik head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Borac Banja Luka vs Čelik odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 77.2%, draw 15.3%, away 7.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.14 | 6.25 | 14.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.25 | 5.25 | 10.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.14 | 4.75 | 9.00 |
| Betano | 1.21 | 5.60 | 11.50 |
| Betfair | 1.13 | 6.50 | 13.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.19 | 6.20 | 12.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.14 | 6.25 | 14.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.17 | 6.47 | 12.00 |
| Superbet | 1.18 | 5.90 | 9.90 |
| Unibet | 1.17 | 5.60 | 10.00 |
| William Hill | 1.18 | 5.80 | 13.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .