Čelik vs Velež overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Čelik vs Velež
| Probability | Čelik | Draw | Velež |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.5% | 29.1% | 28.4% |
| Market | 43.3% | 28.3% | 28.3% |
| Final | 43.1% | 28.5% | 28.4% |
| Edge | -0.8% | +0.7% | +0.1% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Čelik and Velež expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.52
Čelik and Velež attack and defence ratings
Čelik
Velež
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Čelik vs Velež: result vs prediction
Čelik 3 – 0 Velež
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Čelik vs Velež markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Čelik | 43.1% | 2.32 | -0.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Čelik | 43.1% |
| Draw | 28.5% | |
| Velež | 28.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.9% |
| No | 48.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Čelik win | 20.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.6% | |
| Loss | 57.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.9% |
| 1-0 | 10.1% | |
| 0-0 | 9.3% |
Čelik vs Velež stats
Čelik and Velež recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.
Čelik and Velež going into this match
Čelik record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Velež record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
Čelik vs Velež head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-10-25 | Čelik | Velež | Premijer Liga | 0-2 |
| 2019-08-03 | Velež | Čelik | Premijer Liga | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Čelik vs Velež odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.3%, draw 28.3%, away 28.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.12 | 3.25 | 3.20 |
| Dafabet | 2.14 | 3.30 | 3.25 |
| Superbet | 2.10 | 3.20 | 3.15 |
| Unibet | 1.95 | 3.15 | 3.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .