Velež
vs
Radnik Bijeljina
1 – 1 Full time
| 45′ | A. Shhade | ||
| 46′ | A. ShhadeD. Halilovic | ||
| 61′ | I. BoonenT. B. Laus | ||
| 61′ | A. KonateL. Cveticanin | ||
| 63′ | D. Cosic | ||
| 64′ | A. NukicD. Salcin | ||
| 64′ | A. MesicV. Abidovic | ||
| 68′ | O. Klenpic | ||
| 73′ | S. DuranovicA. Imamovic | ||
| 77′ | A. Imamovic | ||
| 81′ | A. Omerovic | ||
| 87′ | N. StojanovicL. Ignatov | ||
| 87′ | M. GhorziA. Ijoma | ||
| 90′ | O. KlenpicA. Markovic |
Velež vs Radnik Bijeljina overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Velež vs Radnik Bijeljina
| Probability | Velež | Draw | Radnik Bijeljina |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52.8% | 27.6% | 19.5% |
| Market | 49.9% | 28.6% | 21.6% |
| Final | 50.6% | 28.3% | 21.0% |
| Edge | +3.0% | -0.9% | -2.0% |
Why Velež
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.58 vs 0.87.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Velež below the model: +3.0 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Velež and Radnik Bijeljina expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.45
Velež and Radnik Bijeljina attack and defence ratings
Velež
Radnik Bijeljina
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Velež vs Radnik Bijeljina: result vs prediction
Velež 1 – 1 Radnik Bijeljina
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Velež vs Radnik Bijeljina markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Velež | 50.6% | 1.98 | +3.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.7% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Velež | 50.6% |
| Draw | 28.3% | |
| Radnik Bijeljina | 21.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.3% |
| No | 52.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Velež win | 28.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.2% | |
| Loss | 47.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.1% |
| 1-0 | 12.4% | |
| 2-0 | 10.8% |
Velež vs Radnik Bijeljina stats
Velež and Radnik Bijeljina recent form
| Velež |
LWLLLL |
| Radnik Bijeljina |
DLLDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Velež and Radnik Bijeljina going into this match
Velež record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
Radnik Bijeljina record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
Velež vs Radnik Bijeljina head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | Velež | Radnik Bijeljina | Premijer Liga | 1-0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Radnik Bijeljina | Velež | Premijer Liga | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-09 | Velež | Radnik Bijeljina | Premijer Liga | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-23 | Radnik Bijeljina | Velež | Premijer Liga | 3-0 |
| 2025-04-13 | Velež | Radnik Bijeljina | Premijer Liga | 3-2 |
| 2025-02-08 | Velež | Radnik Bijeljina | Cup | 2-1 |
| 2024-11-29 | Velež | Radnik Bijeljina | Premijer Liga | 2-1 |
| 2024-08-24 | Radnik Bijeljina | Velež | Premijer Liga | 4-3 |
| 2022-04-15 | Radnik Bijeljina | Velež | Premijer Liga | 0-0 |
| 2021-10-31 | Velež | Radnik Bijeljina | Premijer Liga | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Velež vs Radnik Bijeljina odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.9%, draw 28.6%, away 21.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.83 | 3.20 | 4.10 |
| 1xBet | 1.80 | 3.16 | 4.39 |
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 3.25 | 4.33 |
| BetVictor | 1.73 | 2.88 | 3.70 |
| Betano | 1.87 | 3.20 | 4.15 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 3.25 | 4.20 |
| Dafabet | 1.85 | 3.25 | 4.30 |
| Marathonbet | 1.78 | 3.16 | 4.30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.86 | 3.18 | 4.15 |
| Superbet | 1.83 | 3.15 | 4.10 |
| Unibet | 1.68 | 3.15 | 4.50 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.00 | 4.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .