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Premijer Liga · Full time ·Matchday 5

Siroki Brijeg vs FK Sarajevo

1 – 2 Full time

12′L. HujberS. Maroodza
29′T. Tomic
39′S. Maroodza
42′F. Matic
45′M. Kordic-Gruzic
46′I. JelicM. Barac
46′M. HrkacM. Mourelo
46′F. ZivkovicI. Saric
46′FK SarajevoF. Kosi
52′M. Kupresak
73′F. MaticL. Guedes
73′M. Kordic-GruzicM. Matic
75′S. Meite
76′A. Elezi
76′B. BarisicR. Caraballo
79′L. Guedes
82′M. KupresakS. Pidro
90′J. Ivanisevic
90′D. VirgiliI. Kraljevic
90′R. Caraballo
90′A. Elezi

Stadion PecaraReferee: E. Sivac

Siroki Brijeg 30%
Draw 31%
FK Sarajevo 39%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Siroki Brijeg vs FK Sarajevo overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Siroki Brijeg vs FK Sarajevo

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySiroki BrijegDrawFK Sarajevo
Model40.5%30.8%28.7%
Market27.1%30.4%42.5%
Final30.4%30.5%39.1%
Edge+13.5%+0.4%-13.9%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Siroki Brijeg ↓ / FK Sarajevo → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 9% 1 11% 14% 2 8% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 68%
3+ goals 40%
No goals 11%

Siroki Brijeg and FK Sarajevo expected goals

Siroki Brijeg 1.26
FK Sarajevo 1.03

Total expected goals: 2.29

Siroki Brijeg and FK Sarajevo attack and defence ratings

Siroki Brijeg

Attack 1.14 +14%
Defence 1.06 +6%

FK Sarajevo

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 0.85 -15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Siroki Brijeg vs FK Sarajevo: result vs prediction

Siroki Brijeg 1 – 2 FK Sarajevo

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Premijer Liga

Before and after this match

Siroki Brijeg vs FK Sarajevo markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FK Sarajevo 39.1% 2.56 -13.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 59.9% 1.67 — —
Both teams to score No 52.7% 1.90 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 69.6% 1.44 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 71.3% 1.40 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Siroki Brijeg30.4%
Draw30.5%
FK Sarajevo39.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.540.1%
Under 2.559.9%
Both teams to scoreYes47.3%
No52.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)60.9%
12 (either side)69.5%
X2 (draw or away)69.6%
Handicap -1FK Sarajevo win11.3%
Push (exactly one goal)17.4%
Loss71.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.4%
1-011.5%
0-011.4%

Siroki Brijeg vs FK Sarajevo stats

Siroki Brijeg and FK Sarajevo recent form

newest first
Siroki Brijeg DWWDWD
FK Sarajevo LWDLDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Siroki Brijeg and FK Sarajevo going into this match

league record before kick-off

Siroki Brijeg record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FK Sarajevo record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
  • 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Siroki Brijeg vs FK Sarajevo head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Siroki Brijeg wins 5Draws 2FK Sarajevo wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-16FK SarajevoSiroki BrijegPremijer Liga2-2
2026-03-15Siroki BrijegFK SarajevoPremijer Liga1-0
2025-11-29FK SarajevoSiroki BrijegPremijer Liga0-0
2025-09-14Siroki BrijegFK SarajevoPremijer Liga2-1
2025-05-14Siroki BrijegFK SarajevoCup1-1
2025-05-10FK SarajevoSiroki BrijegPremijer Liga0-1
2025-05-07FK SarajevoSiroki BrijegCup4-0
2025-03-02FK SarajevoSiroki BrijegPremijer Liga1-0
2024-09-30Siroki BrijegFK SarajevoPremijer Liga3-3
2024-05-26Siroki BrijegFK SarajevoPremijer Liga2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Siroki Brijeg vs FK Sarajevo odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 27.1%, draw 30.4%, away 42.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.25 3.00 2.15
1xBet 3.72 3.02 2.00
Bet365 3.30 3.10 2.05
BetVictor 3.13 2.80 1.90
Betano 3.20 2.92 2.30
Betfair 3.30 3.00 2.10
Dafabet 3.60 3.10 2.08
Marathonbet 3.16 2.88 2.24
Pinnacle 3.33 2.95 2.21
Superbet 3.20 2.92 2.22
Unibet 3.35 2.85 2.04
William Hill 3.30 2.90 2.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.30 ▼ -0.46
X 2.94 ▼ -0.17
2 2.10 ▲ +0.14

4 snapshots recorded, from .