Zrinjski
vs
Siroki Brijeg
2 – 1 Full time
| 6′ | N. Bilbija | ||
| 29′ | M. Barac | ||
| 37′ | M. Kordic-Gruzic | ||
| 39′ | D. Lagumdzija | ||
| 44′ | N. Bilbija | ||
| 46′ | M. CuzeI. Savic | ||
| 51′ | K. Sesar | ||
| 59′ | K. SesarL. Guedes | ||
| 60′ | D. LagumdzijaN. Gajzler | ||
| 63′ | M. Mourelo | ||
| 66′ | M. Soldo | ||
| 70′ | L. RomacM. Matic | ||
| 70′ | M. MoureloI. Jelic | ||
| 79′ | K. AbramovicK. Stapic | ||
| 81′ | D. VirgiliF. Jelcic | ||
| 81′ | M. BaracI. Kraljevic | ||
| 84′ | ZrinjskiM. Cuic | ||
| 84′ | N. BilbijaT. Juric |
Zrinjski vs Siroki Brijeg overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Zrinjski vs Siroki Brijeg
| Probability | Zrinjski | Draw | Siroki Brijeg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 73.7% | 17.5% | 8.7% |
| Market | 72.8% | 19.0% | 8.3% |
| Final | 73.0% | 18.6% | 8.4% |
| Edge | +1.0% | -1.4% | +0.5% |
Why Zrinjski
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.43 vs 0.74.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Zrinjski and Siroki Brijeg expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.16
Zrinjski and Siroki Brijeg attack and defence ratings
Zrinjski
Siroki Brijeg
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Zrinjski vs Siroki Brijeg: result vs prediction
Zrinjski 2 – 1 Siroki Brijeg
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Zrinjski vs Siroki Brijeg markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zrinjski | 73.0% | 1.37 | +1.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.6% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Zrinjski win | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zrinjski | 73.0% |
| Draw | 18.6% | |
| Siroki Brijeg | 8.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.4% |
| No | 51.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 27.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Zrinjski win | 52.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.9% | |
| Loss | 26.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 12.4% |
| 3-0 | 10.0% | |
| 1-0 | 9.5% |
Zrinjski vs Siroki Brijeg stats
Zrinjski and Siroki Brijeg recent form
| Zrinjski |
WWWWWD |
| Siroki Brijeg |
LDWWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Zrinjski and Siroki Brijeg going into this match
Zrinjski record
- They have won 5 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
Siroki Brijeg record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Zrinjski vs Siroki Brijeg head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Siroki Brijeg | Zrinjski | Friendlies Clubs | 0-2 |
| 2026-04-26 | Siroki Brijeg | Zrinjski | Premijer Liga | 2-1 |
| 2026-02-22 | Zrinjski | Siroki Brijeg | Premijer Liga | 1-1 |
| 2025-11-01 | Siroki Brijeg | Zrinjski | Premijer Liga | 1-2 |
| 2025-08-17 | Zrinjski | Siroki Brijeg | Premijer Liga | 0-0 |
| 2025-04-27 | Zrinjski | Siroki Brijeg | Premijer Liga | 2-1 |
| 2025-02-21 | Siroki Brijeg | Zrinjski | Premijer Liga | 1-1 |
| 2024-09-24 | Zrinjski | Siroki Brijeg | Premijer Liga | 3-0 |
| 2024-05-03 | Zrinjski | Siroki Brijeg | Premijer Liga | 3-0 |
| 2023-12-10 | Siroki Brijeg | Zrinjski | Premijer Liga | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Zrinjski vs Siroki Brijeg odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 72.8%, draw 19.0%, away 8.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.24 | 4.80 | 11.80 |
| Bet365 | 1.25 | 4.75 | 10.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.23 | 4.80 | 11.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.26 | 5.07 | 9.92 |
| William Hill | 1.25 | 4.50 | 11.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .