Zrinjski
vs
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
2 – 0 Full time
Zrinjski vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Zrinjski vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
| Probability | Zrinjski | Draw | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59.9% | 25.0% | 15.1% |
| Market | 71.0% | 19.0% | 10.0% |
| Final | 68.2% | 20.5% | 11.3% |
| Edge | -11.1% | +6.0% | +5.1% |
Why Zrinjski
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.78 vs 0.78.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Zrinjski and Zeljeznicar Sarajevo expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.57
Zrinjski and Zeljeznicar Sarajevo attack and defence ratings
Zrinjski
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Zrinjski vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo: result vs prediction
Zrinjski 2 – 0 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Zrinjski vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zrinjski | 68.2% | 1.47 | -11.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.6% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.7% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 39.9% | 2.51 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zrinjski | 68.2% |
| Draw | 20.5% | |
| Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | 11.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.4% |
| No | 53.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 31.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Zrinjski win | 35.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.7% | |
| Loss | 39.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 12.6% |
| 2-0 | 12.1% | |
| 1-1 | 11.8% |
Zrinjski vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo stats
Zrinjski and Zeljeznicar Sarajevo recent form
| Zrinjski |
WWDLWD |
| Zeljeznicar Sarajevo |
WLDLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Zrinjski and Zeljeznicar Sarajevo going into this match
Zrinjski record
- They have won 5 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Zrinjski vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | Zrinjski | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | Premijer Liga | 2-0 |
| 2026-03-02 | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | Zrinjski | Premijer Liga | 1-3 |
| 2025-11-09 | Zrinjski | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | Premijer Liga | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-24 | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | Zrinjski | Premijer Liga | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Zrinjski vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 71.0%, draw 19.0%, away 10.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.25 | 4.75 | 11.20 |
| Bet365 | 1.27 | 4.33 | 9.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.22 | 4.00 | 7.50 |
| Betano | 1.31 | 4.65 | 9.00 |
| Betfair | 1.25 | 4.75 | 10.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.29 | 5.00 | 9.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.24 | 4.75 | 10.75 |
| Pinnacle | 1.29 | 4.91 | 9.00 |
| Superbet | 1.28 | 4.75 | 8.00 |
| Unibet | 1.26 | 4.60 | 7.50 |
| William Hill | 1.29 | 4.50 | 10.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .