Garuda Lions
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Premijer Liga Β· Β·Matchday 9

Radnik Bijeljina vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo

Garuda Lions Prediction: Radnik Bijeljina

2 – 1 Predicted score Β· 8% model probability

Bet on Radnik Bijeljina

Gradski stadion Bijeljina, Bijeljina

Radnik Bijeljina 39%
Draw 29%
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 32%

Confidence: Low  Β·  blended with market odds

Chance Radnik Bijeljina wins
39%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
94%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
60%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
8% of simulated outcomes

Radnik Bijeljina vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Radnik Bijeljina vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRadnik BijeljinaDrawZeljeznicar Sarajevo
Model33.8%26.8%39.4%
Market41.1%29.4%29.4%
Final39.3%28.8%31.9%
Edge-7.4%-2.6%+10.0%

Confidence: Low

Best available price on the pick: 2.25, recorded β€” the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.

Radnik Bijeljina vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo match preview

Radnik Bijeljina faces Zeljeznicar Sarajevo in a match where the probabilities indicate Radnik Bijeljina has a 40% chance of winning, while Zeljeznicar Sarajevo stands at 32%. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 2-1 in favor of Radnik Bijeljina, with an 8% probability. The expected goals for Radnik Bijeljina are 1.41, compared to 1.53 for Zeljeznicar Sarajevo, suggesting a competitive encounter.

In terms of recent form, Radnik Bijeljina has struggled with a record of D-L-L-D-D-L, whereas Zeljeznicar Sarajevo has shown slightly better results with D-D-W-W-L-D. The head-to-head statistics reveal that in their last 10 meetings, Radnik Bijeljina has secured 1 win, while Zeljeznicar Sarajevo has 5 wins and 4 matches ended in draws. The model indicates a 56% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance that both teams will score.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Radnik Bijelji ↓ / Zeljeznicar Sa β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 7% 1 6% 13% 9% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 56%
No goals 6%

Radnik Bijeljina and Zeljeznicar Sarajevo expected goals

Radnik Bijeljina 1.41
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 1.54

Total expected goals: 2.95

Radnik Bijeljina and Zeljeznicar Sarajevo attack and defence ratings

Radnik Bijeljina

Attack 1.12 +12%
Defence 1.67 +67%

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Premijer Liga

Before and after this match

Radnik Bijeljina vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Radnik Bijeljina 39.3% 2.55 -7.4% 2.25
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 56.3% 1.78 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 60.3% 1.66 β€” β€”
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.2% 1.40 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 66.2% 1.51 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Radnik Bijeljina39.3%
Draw28.8%
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo31.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.556.3%
Under 2.543.7%
Both teams to scoreYes60.3%
No39.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.1%
12 (either side)71.2%
X2 (draw or away)60.7%
Handicap -1Radnik Bijeljina win16.0%
Push (exactly one goal)17.8%
Loss66.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.5%
1-28.7%
2-18.0%
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Radnik Bijeljina vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo stats

Radnik Bijeljina and Zeljeznicar Sarajevo recent form

newest first
Radnik Bijeljina DLLDDL
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo DDWWLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Radnik Bijeljina and Zeljeznicar Sarajevo season so far

league record

Radnik Bijeljina record

  • They have won 0 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo record

  • They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Radnik Bijeljina vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Radnik Bijeljina wins 4Draws 5Zeljeznicar Sarajevo wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-11Radnik BijeljinaZeljeznicar SarajevoPremijer Liga0-3
2025-12-13Zeljeznicar SarajevoRadnik BijeljinaPremijer Liga0-0
2025-10-05Radnik BijeljinaZeljeznicar SarajevoPremijer Liga1-0
2025-07-27Zeljeznicar SarajevoRadnik BijeljinaPremijer Liga1-1
2025-05-31Radnik BijeljinaZeljeznicar SarajevoPremijer Liga1-2
2025-03-16Radnik BijeljinaZeljeznicar SarajevoPremijer Liga2-3
2024-10-25Zeljeznicar SarajevoRadnik BijeljinaPremijer Liga2-0
2022-05-16Zeljeznicar SarajevoRadnik BijeljinaPremijer Liga1-1
2021-11-21Zeljeznicar SarajevoRadnik BijeljinaPremijer Liga2-0
2021-08-22Radnik BijeljinaZeljeznicar SarajevoPremijer Liga0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Radnik Bijeljina vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.1%, draw 29.4%, away 29.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.24 3.04 3.03
Bet365 2.15 3.10 3.10
Betano 2.22 3.10 3.15
Betfair 2.20 3.20 3.10
Dafabet 2.25 3.15 3.15
Marathonbet 2.22 3.04 2.96
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Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.22 β–² +0.05
X 3.10 β€”
2 3.10 β–Ό -0.02

8 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 Radnik Bijeljina Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
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