Radnik Bijeljina
vs
FK Sarajevo
Garuda Lions Prediction: FK Sarajevo
0 β 1 Predicted score Β· 9% model probability
Radnik Bijeljina vs FK Sarajevo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Radnik Bijeljina vs FK Sarajevo
| Probability | Radnik Bijeljina | Draw | FK Sarajevo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.8% | 29.3% | 34.9% |
| Market | 24.4% | 29.3% | 46.2% |
| Final | 27.3% | 29.3% | 43.4% |
| Edge | +11.4% | +0.0% | -11.4% |
Why FK Sarajevo
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.20, recorded β the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Radnik Bijeljina vs FK Sarajevo match preview
Radnik Bijeljina faces FK Sarajevo in a closely contested match, with probabilities indicating a 31% chance of a Radnik Bijeljina win, a 30% likelihood of a draw, and a 39% chance for FK Sarajevo to secure the victory. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 9%. Both teams show a near-equivalent expected goals tally, with Radnik Bijeljina at 1.28 and FK Sarajevo at 1.26, suggesting a balanced offensive performance.
In terms of recent form, Radnik Bijeljina has recorded one win, two draws, and three losses in their last six matches, while FK Sarajevo has achieved three wins, two losses, and one draw in the same timeframe. Historically, FK Sarajevo has dominated their encounters, winning six of the last ten meetings, while Radnik Bijeljina has yet to claim a victory, with four matches ending in draws.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Radnik Bijeljina and FK Sarajevo expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.53
Radnik Bijeljina and FK Sarajevo attack and defence ratings
Radnik Bijeljina
FK Sarajevo
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Radnik Bijeljina vs FK Sarajevo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FK Sarajevo | 43.4% | 2.30 | -11.4% | 2.20 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.5% | 1.87 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.9% | 1.89 | β | β |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 72.7% | 1.38 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.1% | 1.53 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Radnik Bijeljina | 27.3% |
| Draw | 29.3% | |
| FK Sarajevo | 43.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.9% |
| No | 47.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 56.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | FK Sarajevo win | 15.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.2% | |
| Loss | 65.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.0% |
| 0-0 | 9.2% | |
| 1-0 | 8.9% |
Radnik Bijeljina vs FK Sarajevo stats
Radnik Bijeljina and FK Sarajevo recent form
| Radnik Bijeljina |
WDLLDD |
| FK Sarajevo |
DWLLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Radnik Bijeljina and FK Sarajevo season so far
Radnik Bijeljina record
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
FK Sarajevo record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches.
Radnik Bijeljina vs FK Sarajevo head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | FK Sarajevo | Radnik Bijeljina | Premijer Liga | 0-0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Radnik Bijeljina | FK Sarajevo | Premijer Liga | 1-2 |
| 2026-02-06 | FK Sarajevo | Radnik Bijeljina | Premijer Liga | 2-0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Radnik Bijeljina | FK Sarajevo | Premijer Liga | 2-2 |
| 2025-08-03 | FK Sarajevo | Radnik Bijeljina | Premijer Liga | 4-4 |
| 2025-05-25 | FK Sarajevo | Radnik Bijeljina | Premijer Liga | 1-1 |
| 2024-12-03 | Radnik Bijeljina | FK Sarajevo | Premijer Liga | 2-3 |
| 2024-08-30 | FK Sarajevo | Radnik Bijeljina | Premijer Liga | 2-0 |
| 2022-05-06 | FK Sarajevo | Radnik Bijeljina | Premijer Liga | 1-0 |
| 2021-11-06 | Radnik Bijeljina | FK Sarajevo | Premijer Liga | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Radnik Bijeljina vs FK Sarajevo odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 24.4%, draw 29.3%, away 46.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.79 | 3.08 | 1.97 |
| Bet365 | 3.10 | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| Betano | 3.70 | 3.15 | 2.00 |
| Betfair | 3.60 | 3.10 | 1.95 |
| Dafabet | 3.70 | 3.10 | 1.98 |
| Marathonbet | 3.72 | 3.08 | 1.95 |
| Pinnacle | 3.82 | 3.17 | 1.94 |
| William Hill | 3.80 | 2.90 | 1.95 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .