FK Sarajevo
vs
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Garuda Lions Prediction: FK Sarajevo
1 β 0 Predicted score Β· 16% model probability
FK Sarajevo vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FK Sarajevo vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
| Probability | FK Sarajevo | Draw | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.7% | 32.4% | 19.9% |
| Market | β | β | β |
| Final | 47.7% | 32.4% | 19.9% |
| Edge | β | β | β |
Why FK Sarajevo
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.24 vs 0.71.
FK Sarajevo vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo match preview
FK Sarajevo hosts Zeljeznicar Sarajevo in an upcoming Premijer Liga fixture, with FK Sarajevo holding a 48% probability of winning according to our model. The expected goals for FK Sarajevo stand at 1.24, while Zeljeznicar Sarajevo is projected at 0.71. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, occurring with a 16% likelihood.
Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with FK Sarajevo recording two wins in their last six matches and Zeljeznicar Sarajevo achieving two wins in the same timeframe. In their last ten encounters, FK Sarajevo has secured three wins, while both teams have drawn four times, and Zeljeznicar Sarajevo has also won three matches. The probabilities indicate a draw at 32% and a 20% chance for Zeljeznicar Sarajevo to win.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FK Sarajevo and Zeljeznicar Sarajevo expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.94
FK Sarajevo and Zeljeznicar Sarajevo attack and defence ratings
FK Sarajevo
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
FK Sarajevo vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FK Sarajevo | 47.7% | 2.10 | β | β |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 69.3% | 1.44 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | No | 62.9% | 1.59 | β | β |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.1% | 1.25 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.3% | 1.91 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FK Sarajevo | 47.7% |
| Draw | 32.4% | |
| Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | 19.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 30.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 69.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37.1% |
| No | 62.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | FK Sarajevo win | 22.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.4% | |
| Loss | 52.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 16.5% |
| 0-0 | 15.6% | |
| 1-1 | 13.8% |
FK Sarajevo vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo stats
FK Sarajevo and Zeljeznicar Sarajevo recent form
| FK Sarajevo |
DDWLLW |
| Zeljeznicar Sarajevo |
DLDDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FK Sarajevo and Zeljeznicar Sarajevo season so far
FK Sarajevo record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches.
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
FK Sarajevo vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | FK Sarajevo | Premijer Liga | 2-0 |
| 2026-05-25 | FK Sarajevo | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | Premijer Liga | 1-0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | FK Sarajevo | Premijer Liga | 0-0 |
| 2025-12-07 | FK Sarajevo | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | Premijer Liga | 4-0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | FK Sarajevo | Premijer Liga | 2-0 |
| 2025-04-27 | FK Sarajevo | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | Premijer Liga | 2-1 |
| 2025-02-22 | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | FK Sarajevo | Premijer Liga | 0-0 |
| 2024-09-25 | FK Sarajevo | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | Premijer Liga | 1-1 |
| 2024-04-14 | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | FK Sarajevo | Premijer Liga | 0-0 |
| 2024-03-03 | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | FK Sarajevo | Premijer Liga | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.