Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
vs
Zrinjski
Garuda Lions Prediction: Zrinjski
0 β 2 Predicted score Β· 11% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 0.90.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Zrinjski overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Zrinjski
| Probability | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | Draw | Zrinjski |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 15.7% | 23.5% | 60.8% |
| Market | β | β | β |
| Final | 15.7% | 23.5% | 60.8% |
| Edge | β | β | β |
Why Zrinjski
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 0.90.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Zrinjski match preview
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo faces Zrinjski in a match where the probabilities indicate a strong advantage for the visitors. Zrinjski has a 58% chance of winning, while Zeljeznicar Sarajevo stands at 18%, with a 24% likelihood of a draw. The expected goals suggest a significant disparity, with Zeljeznicar Sarajevo at 0.97 and Zrinjski at 1.87.
In terms of recent form, Zeljeznicar Sarajevo has recorded two wins, three draws, and one loss in their last six matches, while Zrinjski has been more consistent, winning four of their last six, with one loss. The head-to-head record also favors Zrinjski, who has won four of the last five encounters, leaving Zeljeznicar Sarajevo with just one victory. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-2.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo and Zrinjski expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.83
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo and Zrinjski attack and defence ratings
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Zrinjski
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Zrinjski markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zrinjski | 60.8% | 1.65 | β | β |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.9% | 1.86 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.7% | 1.94 | β | β |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 84.3% | 1.19 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 39.2% | 2.55 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | 15.7% |
| Draw | 23.5% | |
| Zrinjski | 60.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.7% |
| No | 48.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 39.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 84.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Zrinjski win | 37.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.6% | |
| Loss | 39.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.2% |
| 0-2 | 11.0% | |
| 0-1 | 10.4% |
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Zrinjski stats
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo and Zrinjski recent form
| Zeljeznicar Sarajevo |
LDLDDW |
| Zrinjski |
WWWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo and Zrinjski season so far
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
Zrinjski record
- They have won 9 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game on the road against 2.2 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- 56% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Zrinjski head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Zrinjski | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | Premijer Liga | 2-0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Zrinjski | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | Premijer Liga | 2-0 |
| 2026-03-02 | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | Zrinjski | Premijer Liga | 1-3 |
| 2025-11-09 | Zrinjski | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | Premijer Liga | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-24 | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | Zrinjski | Premijer Liga | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.