Premijer Liga Β· Β·Matchday 12

Radnik Bijeljina vs Siroki Brijeg

Garuda Lions Prediction: Radnik Bijeljina

2 – 1 Predicted score Β· 8% model probability

  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Gradski stadion Bijeljina, Bijeljina

Radnik Bijeljina 37%
Draw 29%
Siroki Brijeg 35%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Radnik Bijeljina wins
37%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
92%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
55%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
8% of simulated outcomes

Radnik Bijeljina vs Siroki Brijeg overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Radnik Bijeljina vs Siroki Brijeg

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRadnik BijeljinaDrawSiroki Brijeg
Model36.6%28.5%34.9%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final36.6%28.5%34.9%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Radnik Bijeljina vs Siroki Brijeg match preview

Radnik Bijeljina faces Siroki Brijeg in a closely contested match, with our model assigning probabilities of 36% for a Radnik win, 28% for a draw, and 35% for a Siroki Brijeg victory. The expected goals are marginally in favor of Radnik Bijeljina at 1.35 compared to Siroki Brijeg's 1.32. Recent form shows Radnik Bijeljina with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches, while Siroki Brijeg has one win, three draws, and one loss.

The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of Radnik Bijeljina, with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% probability that both teams will score. The head-to-head record in the last five encounters is evenly matched, with both teams claiming two wins each and one draw.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Radnik Bijelji ↓ / Siroki Brijeg β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 8% 1 8% 14% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 50%
No goals 8%

Radnik Bijeljina and Siroki Brijeg expected goals

Radnik Bijeljina 1.35
Siroki Brijeg 1.31

Total expected goals: 2.66

Radnik Bijeljina and Siroki Brijeg attack and defence ratings

Radnik Bijeljina

Attack 1.13 +13%
Defence 1.47 +47%

Siroki Brijeg

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 0.90 -10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

Premijer Liga

Before and after this match

Radnik Bijeljina vs Siroki Brijeg markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Radnik Bijeljina 36.6% 2.73 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 50.4% 1.98 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 55.3% 1.81 β€” β€”
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.5% 1.40 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 63.4% 1.58 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Radnik Bijeljina36.6%
Draw28.5%
Siroki Brijeg34.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.549.6%
Under 2.550.4%
Both teams to scoreYes55.3%
No44.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)65.1%
12 (either side)71.5%
X2 (draw or away)63.4%
Handicap -1Radnik Bijeljina win17.2%
Push (exactly one goal)19.4%
Loss63.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.6%
2-18.3%
0-08.2%

Radnik Bijeljina vs Siroki Brijeg stats

Radnik Bijeljina and Siroki Brijeg recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Radnik Bijeljina and Siroki Brijeg season so far

league record

Radnik Bijeljina record

  • They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.

Siroki Brijeg record

  • They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Radnik Bijeljina vs Siroki Brijeg head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

2Radnik Bijeljina wins 1Draws 2Siroki Brijeg wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-22Siroki BrijegRadnik BijeljinaPremijer Liga2-1
2026-05-25Siroki BrijegRadnik BijeljinaPremijer Liga4-0
2026-04-04Radnik BijeljinaSiroki BrijegPremijer Liga2-0
2025-12-08Siroki BrijegRadnik BijeljinaPremijer Liga1-3
2025-09-26Radnik BijeljinaSiroki BrijegPremijer Liga0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Radnik Bijeljina vs Siroki Brijeg odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Radnik Bijeljina Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
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