Garuda Lions
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Premijer Liga Β· Β·Matchday 13

Borac Banja Luka vs Radnik Bijeljina

Garuda Lions Prediction: Borac Banja Luka

2 – 1 Predicted score Β· 9% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.62 vs 1.05.
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this β€” Borac Banja Luka is the favourite, not a value bet.
Bet on Borac Banja Luka

Gradski stadion Banja Luka, Banja Luka

Borac Banja Luka 73%
Draw 17%
Radnik Bijeljina 9%

Confidence: Low  Β·  blended with market odds

Chance Borac Banja Luka wins
73%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
97%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
61%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
9% of simulated outcomes

Borac Banja Luka vs Radnik Bijeljina overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Borac Banja Luka vs Radnik Bijeljina

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBorac Banja LukaDrawRadnik Bijeljina
Model70.2%17.6%12.3%
Market74.4%17.3%8.3%
Final73.4%17.4%9.3%
Edge-1.1%+0.1%+1.0%

Confidence: Low Β· Edge = Final minus Market

Why Borac Banja Luka

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.62 vs 1.05.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Best available price on the pick: 1.25, recorded β€” the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -8.3% per unit staked (our 73.4% Γ— 1.25 βˆ’ 1).

Borac Banja Luka vs Radnik Bijeljina match preview

Borac Banja Luka is favored to win against Radnik Bijeljina, with a 73% probability according to our model. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which has a 9% chance of occurring. Borac has shown a mixed recent form with three wins and two losses in their last six matches, while Radnik has two wins, two draws, and two losses in the same timeframe.

In terms of expected goals, Borac Banja Luka is projected to score 2.62, while Radnik Bijeljina is expected to net 1.05. Additionally, there is a 71% likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match, and a 61% chance that both teams will score. Historically, Borac has dominated their encounters, winning seven out of the last ten meetings.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Borac Banja Lu ↓ / Radnik Bijelji β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 8% 2 9% 9% 3 8% 8% 4+ 9% 10% 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 89%
3+ goals 71%
No goals 3%

Borac Banja Luka and Radnik Bijeljina expected goals

Borac Banja Luka 2.62
Radnik Bijeljina 1.05

Total expected goals: 3.67

Borac Banja Luka and Radnik Bijeljina attack and defence ratings

Borac Banja Luka

Attack 1.49 +49%
Defence 0.93 -7%

Radnik Bijeljina

Attack 1.20 +20%
Defence 1.33 +33%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 13 fixtures

Premijer Liga

Before and after this match

Borac Banja Luka vs Radnik Bijeljina markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Borac Banja Luka 73.4% 1.36 -1.1% 1.25
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 71.0% 1.41 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 61.1% 1.64 β€” β€”
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 90.7% 1.10 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Borac Banja Luka win 49.7% 2.01 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Borac Banja Luka73.4%
Draw17.4%
Radnik Bijeljina9.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.571.0%
Under 2.529.0%
Both teams to scoreYes61.1%
No38.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)90.7%
12 (either side)82.6%
X2 (draw or away)26.6%
Handicap -1Borac Banja Luka win49.7%
Push (exactly one goal)20.5%
Loss29.8%
Correct score (top 3)2-19.2%
2-08.7%
3-18.0%
Compare prices for this pick

Borac Banja Luka vs Radnik Bijeljina stats

Borac Banja Luka and Radnik Bijeljina recent form

newest first
Borac Banja Luka LWWWLW
Radnik Bijeljina WLDWDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Borac Banja Luka and Radnik Bijeljina season so far

league record

Borac Banja Luka record

  • They have won 9 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 11 matches.

Radnik Bijeljina record

  • They have won 2 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.

Borac Banja Luka vs Radnik Bijeljina head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

7Borac Banja Luka wins 2Draws 1Radnik Bijeljina wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-09-26Borac Banja LukaRadnik BijeljinaFriendlies Clubs4-3
2026-08-30Radnik BijeljinaBorac Banja LukaPremijer Liga2-2
2026-05-22Radnik BijeljinaBorac Banja LukaPremijer Liga0-0
2026-03-21Borac Banja LukaRadnik BijeljinaPremijer Liga1-0
2025-12-03Radnik BijeljinaBorac Banja LukaPremijer Liga0-1
2025-09-20Borac Banja LukaRadnik BijeljinaPremijer Liga5-1
2025-05-18Radnik BijeljinaBorac Banja LukaPremijer Liga1-0
2025-03-01Radnik BijeljinaBorac Banja LukaPremijer Liga0-1
2024-09-29Borac Banja LukaRadnik BijeljinaPremijer Liga2-0
2022-04-23Borac Banja LukaRadnik BijeljinaPremijer Liga1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Borac Banja Luka vs Radnik Bijeljina odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 74.4%, draw 17.3%, away 8.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.20 5.25 11.90
Bet365 1.22 5.25 11.00
Betano 1.25 5.20 10.00
Dafabet 1.22 5.40 10.00
Marathonbet 1.19 5.25 11.25
Pinnacle 1.21 5.76 11.43
William Hill 1.22 5.00 11.00
Find the best place to bet

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.22 β–² +0.07
X 5.25 β–Ό -0.55
2 11.00 β–Ό -2.00

6 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 Borac Banja Luka Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
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