Premijer Liga · ·Matchday 13

Sloga Doboj vs BSK Banja Luka

Garuda Lions Prediction: Sloga Doboj

1 – 0 Predicted score · 7% model probability

  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Sloga Doboj is the favourite, not a value bet.

Stadion Luke

Sloga Doboj 42%
Draw 28%
BSK Banja Luka 30%

Confidence: Low  Â·  blended with market odds

Chance Sloga Doboj wins
42%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
91%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
53%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
7% of simulated outcomes

Sloga Doboj vs BSK Banja Luka overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sloga Doboj vs BSK Banja Luka

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySloga DobojDrawBSK Banja Luka
Model27.6%28.5%43.9%
Market46.9%27.9%25.2%
Final42.0%28.1%29.9%
Edge-4.8%+0.1%+4.7%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Best available price on the pick: 2.07, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -13.0% per unit staked (our 42.0% × 2.07 − 1).

Sloga Doboj vs BSK Banja Luka match preview

Sloga Doboj faces BSK Banja Luka in a match where the probabilities indicate a 40% chance of a Sloga Doboj victory, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 32% chance for BSK Banja Luka to win. The expected goals for Sloga Doboj are 1.12, while BSK Banja Luka has a higher expectation at 1.47. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 1-0, occurring with a 7% probability.

In terms of recent form, Sloga Doboj has struggled significantly, recording six consecutive losses. Conversely, BSK Banja Luka has shown resilience with a mix of results, including two wins and four draws in their last six matches. The model suggests a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance that both teams will score.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Sloga Doboj ↓ / BSK Banja Luka → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 10% 8% 1 7% 14% 9% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 48%
No goals 9%

Sloga Doboj and BSK Banja Luka expected goals

Sloga Doboj 1.12
BSK Banja Luka 1.47

Total expected goals: 2.59

Sloga Doboj and BSK Banja Luka attack and defence ratings

Sloga Doboj

Attack 0.62 -38%
Defence 1.27 +27%

BSK Banja Luka

Attack 1.24 +24%
Defence 1.36 +36%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 13 fixtures

Premijer Liga

Before and after this match

Sloga Doboj vs BSK Banja Luka markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sloga Doboj 42.0% 2.38 -4.8% 2.07
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 52.1% 1.92 — —
Both teams to score Yes 53.1% 1.88 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.9% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 72.4% 1.38 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Sloga Doboj42.0%
Draw28.1%
BSK Banja Luka29.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.547.9%
Under 2.552.1%
Both teams to scoreYes53.1%
No46.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)70.1%
12 (either side)71.9%
X2 (draw or away)58.0%
Handicap -1Sloga Doboj win11.3%
Push (exactly one goal)16.3%
Loss72.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.6%
0-19.8%
1-29.1%

Sloga Doboj vs BSK Banja Luka stats

Sloga Doboj and BSK Banja Luka recent form

newest first
Sloga Doboj LLLLLL
BSK Banja Luka DWDLDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Sloga Doboj and BSK Banja Luka season so far

league record

Sloga Doboj record

  • They have won 2 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 12 matches.
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

BSK Banja Luka record

  • They have won 3 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.

Sloga Doboj vs BSK Banja Luka head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

1Sloga Doboj wins 0Draws 0BSK Banja Luka wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-29BSK Banja LukaSloga DobojPremijer Liga0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Sloga Doboj vs BSK Banja Luka odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 46.9%, draw 27.9%, away 25.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.03 3.20 3.32
Bet365 1.80 3.30 3.80
Betano 2.07 3.20 3.35
Marathonbet 1.82 3.26 3.82

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.92 â–¼ -0.09
X 3.23 â–² +0.03
2 3.58 â–² +0.29

6 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 Sloga Doboj Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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