Sloga Doboj
vs
Velež
Garuda Lions Prediction: Sloga Doboj
1 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Sloga Doboj vs Velež overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sloga Doboj vs Velež
| Probability | Sloga Doboj | Draw | Velež |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.1% | 32.0% | 26.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 41.1% | 32.0% | 26.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Sloga Doboj vs Velež match preview
Sloga Doboj faces Velež in the Premijer Liga on October 31, 2026. According to our model, Sloga Doboj has a 46% probability of winning, while Velež stands at 22%, with a 32% chance of a draw. The most likely scoreline is predicted to be 1-0 in favor of Sloga Doboj, occurring with a 15% likelihood. Expected goals suggest Sloga Doboj will score 1.25 goals, compared to Velež's 0.77.
In terms of recent form, Sloga Doboj has recorded four losses followed by a draw and a win, while Velež's last six matches include two draws, two losses, and a win. The head-to-head record shows Sloga Doboj with one win, one draw, and three losses against Velež in their last five encounters. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sloga Doboj and Velež expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.12
Sloga Doboj and Velež attack and defence ratings
Sloga Doboj
Velež
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sloga Doboj vs Velež markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sloga Doboj | 41.1% | 2.43 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sloga Doboj | 41.1% |
| Draw | 32.0% | |
| Velež | 26.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.4% |
| No | 56.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sloga Doboj win | 18.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.6% | |
| Loss | 58.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.6% |
| 0-0 | 13.3% | |
| 1-0 | 13.1% |
Sloga Doboj vs Velež stats
Sloga Doboj and Velež recent form
| Sloga Doboj |
LLLLLD |
| Velež |
LDLWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sloga Doboj and Velež season so far
Sloga Doboj record
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Velež record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
Sloga Doboj vs Velež head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Velež | Sloga Doboj | Premijer Liga | 2-0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Velež | Sloga Doboj | Premijer Liga | 0-0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Sloga Doboj | Velež | Premijer Liga | 1-2 |
| 2025-10-04 | Velež | Sloga Doboj | Premijer Liga | 2-0 |
| 2025-07-26 | Sloga Doboj | Velež | Premijer Liga | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.