Čelik
vs
Borac Banja Luka
Garuda Lions Prediction: Borac Banja Luka
0 – 1 Predicted score · 13% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.49 vs 0.85.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Čelik vs Borac Banja Luka overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Čelik vs Borac Banja Luka
| Probability | Čelik | Draw | Borac Banja Luka |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 20.1% | 28.7% | 51.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 20.1% | 28.7% | 51.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Borac Banja Luka
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.49 vs 0.85.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Čelik vs Borac Banja Luka match preview
Čelik faces Borac Banja Luka in the upcoming Premijer Liga match, with kickoff scheduled for October 31, 2026. The probabilities from our model indicate a 22% chance for Čelik to win, a 29% chance for a draw, and a 49% likelihood of a Borac Banja Luka victory. The expected goals for Čelik stand at 0.91, while Borac Banja Luka is projected to score 1.47. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring with a 12% probability.
In terms of recent form, Čelik has recorded results of D-L-D-D-W-L, while Borac Banja Luka has been in strong form with W-L-W-W-W-W. The probability of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 42%, and there is a 47% chance that both teams will score during the match. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Čelik and Borac Banja Luka expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.34
Čelik and Borac Banja Luka attack and defence ratings
Čelik
Borac Banja Luka
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Čelik vs Borac Banja Luka markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Borac Banja Luka | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 79.9% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.8% | 2.05 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Čelik | 20.1% |
| Draw | 28.7% | |
| Borac Banja Luka | 51.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.4% |
| No | 54.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 48.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 79.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Borac Banja Luka win | 26.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.4% | |
| Loss | 48.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.4% |
| 0-1 | 13.2% | |
| 0-0 | 10.9% |
Čelik vs Borac Banja Luka stats
Čelik and Borac Banja Luka recent form
| Čelik |
DLDDWL |
| Borac Banja Luka |
WWLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Čelik and Borac Banja Luka season so far
Čelik record
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Borac Banja Luka record
- They have won 7 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
Čelik vs Borac Banja Luka head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Borac Banja Luka | Čelik | Premijer Liga | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.