BSK Banja Luka
vs
FK Sarajevo
Garuda Lions Prediction: FK Sarajevo
0 β 1 Predicted score Β· 10% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
BSK Banja Luka vs FK Sarajevo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: BSK Banja Luka vs FK Sarajevo
| Probability | BSK Banja Luka | Draw | FK Sarajevo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.8% | 30.8% | 35.4% |
| Market | β | β | β |
| Final | 33.8% | 30.8% | 35.4% |
| Edge | β | β | β |
BSK Banja Luka vs FK Sarajevo match preview
BSK Banja Luka faces FK Sarajevo in the upcoming Premijer Liga match, with kickoff scheduled for October 31, 2026. According to our model, the probabilities for the match outcome show BSK Banja Luka at 34%, a draw at 31%, and FK Sarajevo slightly ahead at 35%. The expected goals are closely matched, with BSK Banja Luka at 1.15 and FK Sarajevo at 1.18. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, occurring with a 10% probability.
In terms of recent form, BSK Banja Luka has recorded two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches, while FK Sarajevo has achieved two wins, two draws, and two losses. The likelihood of both teams scoring is estimated at 49%, and there is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match. The confidence grade for this forecast is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
BSK Banja Luka and FK Sarajevo expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.33
BSK Banja Luka and FK Sarajevo attack and defence ratings
BSK Banja Luka
FK Sarajevo
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
BSK Banja Luka vs FK Sarajevo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FK Sarajevo | 35.4% | 2.83 | β | β |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.9% | 1.70 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.4% | 1.95 | β | β |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 69.2% | 1.45 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.6% | 1.55 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | BSK Banja Luka | 33.8% |
| Draw | 30.8% | |
| FK Sarajevo | 35.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.6% |
| No | 51.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | FK Sarajevo win | 15.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.9% | |
| Loss | 64.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.5% |
| 0-0 | 11.1% | |
| 0-1 | 10.2% |
BSK Banja Luka vs FK Sarajevo stats
BSK Banja Luka and FK Sarajevo recent form
| BSK Banja Luka |
WDLDDW |
| FK Sarajevo |
WDDWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
BSK Banja Luka and FK Sarajevo season so far
BSK Banja Luka record
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FK Sarajevo record
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.
BSK Banja Luka vs FK Sarajevo head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | FK Sarajevo | BSK Banja Luka | Premijer Liga | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.