Velež
vs
BSK Banja Luka
Garuda Lions Prediction: BSK Banja Luka
0 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Velež vs BSK Banja Luka overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Velež vs BSK Banja Luka
| Probability | Velež | Draw | BSK Banja Luka |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.1% | 29.5% | 37.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 33.1% | 29.5% | 37.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Velež vs BSK Banja Luka match preview
Velež faces BSK Banja Luka in a tightly contested match, with probabilities indicating a slight edge for BSK Banja Luka at 37%, compared to Velež's 33% and a 30% chance of a draw. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 9%. Both teams show a moderate likelihood of scoring, with 52% for both teams to find the net, while the over 2.5 goals probability stands at 46%.
In terms of recent form, Velež has recorded a sequence of D-L-W-L-D-L, while BSK Banja Luka's last matches show D-L-D-D-W-L. Expected goals suggest a narrow contest, with Velež at 1.21 and BSK Banja Luka at 1.29. The head-to-head record from their last encounter favors BSK Banja Luka, who have 1 win against Velež's 0.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Velež and BSK Banja Luka expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.50
Velež and BSK Banja Luka attack and defence ratings
Velež
BSK Banja Luka
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Velež vs BSK Banja Luka markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | BSK Banja Luka | 37.3% | 2.68 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.7% | 1.60 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Velež | 33.1% |
| Draw | 29.5% | |
| BSK Banja Luka | 37.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.1% |
| No | 47.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | BSK Banja Luka win | 17.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.1% | |
| Loss | 62.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.1% |
| 0-0 | 9.5% | |
| 0-1 | 9.3% |
Velež vs BSK Banja Luka stats
Velež and BSK Banja Luka recent form
| Velež |
DLWLDL |
| BSK Banja Luka |
DLDDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Velež and BSK Banja Luka season so far
Velež record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
BSK Banja Luka record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
Velež vs BSK Banja Luka head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | BSK Banja Luka | Velež | Premijer Liga | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.