Velež
vs
Siroki Brijeg
0 – 0 Full time
Velež vs Siroki Brijeg overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Velež vs Siroki Brijeg
| Probability | Velež | Draw | Siroki Brijeg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.1% | 27.5% | 40.4% |
| Market | 43.2% | 29.3% | 27.5% |
| Final | 40.4% | 28.8% | 30.7% |
| Edge | -11.1% | -1.7% | +12.9% |
Why Velež
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Velež and Siroki Brijeg expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.80
Velež and Siroki Brijeg attack and defence ratings
Velež
Siroki Brijeg
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Velež vs Siroki Brijeg: result vs prediction
Velež 0 – 0 Siroki Brijeg
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Velež vs Siroki Brijeg markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Velež | 40.4% | 2.47 | -11.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.2% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 67.9% | 1.47 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Velež | 40.4% |
| Draw | 28.8% | |
| Siroki Brijeg | 30.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.7% |
| No | 42.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Velež win | 14.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.5% | |
| Loss | 67.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.1% |
| 1-2 | 8.8% | |
| 0-1 | 7.9% |
Velež vs Siroki Brijeg stats
Velež and Siroki Brijeg recent form
| Velež |
LWLDLW |
| Siroki Brijeg |
LDLLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Velež and Siroki Brijeg going into this match
Velež record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
Siroki Brijeg record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Velež vs Siroki Brijeg head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-21 | Velež | Siroki Brijeg | Premijer Liga | 3-0 |
| 2026-02-15 | Siroki Brijeg | Velež | Premijer Liga | 1-0 |
| 2026-02-11 | Velež | Siroki Brijeg | Cup | 2-1 |
| 2025-10-25 | Velež | Siroki Brijeg | Premijer Liga | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-10 | Siroki Brijeg | Velež | Premijer Liga | 1-3 |
| 2025-03-28 | Siroki Brijeg | Velež | Premijer Liga | 2-5 |
| 2025-03-12 | Velež | Siroki Brijeg | Cup | 1-2 |
| 2025-02-26 | Siroki Brijeg | Velež | Cup | 2-0 |
| 2024-11-23 | Velež | Siroki Brijeg | Premijer Liga | 3-1 |
| 2024-08-18 | Siroki Brijeg | Velež | Premijer Liga | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Velež vs Siroki Brijeg odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.2%, draw 29.3%, away 27.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.12 | 3.10 | 3.20 |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.10 | 3.40 |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.10 | 3.20 | 3.30 |
| Betfair | 2.05 | 3.10 | 3.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.12 | 3.15 | 3.45 |
| Marathonbet | 2.10 | 3.10 | 3.12 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .