Premijer Liga · Full time ·Matchday 9

Čelik vs FK Sarajevo

0 – 0 Full time

17′H. Sabanovic
46′N. SmajlovicM. Popovic
58′I. Saric
60′S. Pidro
64′A. Masic
67′F. KyeremehA. Galesic
71′A. MohedanoJ. Amoah
71′A. Beganovic
78′A. MasicD. Vidic
84′A. HrvanovicS. Faraj
84′O. SarkicB. Jenjic
90′A. EleziG. Cimirot
90′I. SaricF. Kosi
90′R. CaraballoB. Barisic

Bilino Polje, ZenicaReferee: A. Kukic

Čelik 30%
Draw 29%
FK Sarajevo 41%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Čelik vs FK Sarajevo overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Čelik vs FK Sarajevo

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityČelikDrawFK Sarajevo
Model42.0%30.3%27.7%
Market25.8%29.1%45.1%
Final29.8%29.4%40.8%
Edge+4.1%+0.3%-4.4%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why FK Sarajevo

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Čelik ↓ / FK Sarajevo → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 9% 1 11% 14% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 69%
3+ goals 41%
No goals 11%

Čelik and FK Sarajevo expected goals

Čelik 1.32
FK Sarajevo 1.02

Total expected goals: 2.34

Čelik and FK Sarajevo attack and defence ratings

Čelik

Attack 1.18 +18%
Defence 1.19 +19%

FK Sarajevo

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Čelik vs FK Sarajevo: result vs prediction

Čelik 0 – 0 FK Sarajevo

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Premijer Liga

Before and after this match

Čelik vs FK Sarajevo markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FK Sarajevo 40.8% 2.45 -4.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 58.6% 1.71 — —
Both teams to score No 51.8% 1.93 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 70.6% 1.42 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 72.3% 1.38 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Čelik29.8%
Draw29.4%
FK Sarajevo40.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.541.4%
Under 2.558.6%
Both teams to scoreYes48.2%
No51.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)59.2%
12 (either side)70.6%
X2 (draw or away)70.2%
Handicap -1FK Sarajevo win10.8%
Push (exactly one goal)16.9%
Loss72.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.3%
1-011.4%
0-010.9%

Čelik vs FK Sarajevo stats

Čelik and FK Sarajevo recent form

newest first
Čelik DWLDWL
FK Sarajevo WLLWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Čelik and FK Sarajevo going into this match

league record before kick-off

Čelik record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FK Sarajevo record

  • They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.

Čelik vs FK Sarajevo head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

0Čelik wins 3Draws 7FK Sarajevo wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-11ČelikFK SarajevoCup0-1
2022-10-19ČelikFK SarajevoCup1-1
2019-10-18FK SarajevoČelikPremijer Liga2-0
2019-07-28ČelikFK SarajevoPremijer Liga0-0
2019-05-03FK SarajevoČelikPremijer Liga5-0
2018-12-01FK SarajevoČelikPremijer Liga3-1
2018-09-01ČelikFK SarajevoPremijer Liga0-0
2017-10-29FK SarajevoČelikPremijer Liga5-0
2017-07-30ČelikFK SarajevoPremijer Liga0-2
2016-10-30FK SarajevoČelikPremijer Liga4-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Čelik vs FK Sarajevo odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 25.8%, draw 29.1%, away 45.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.43 3.08 2.04
Bet365 3.50 3.20 1.91
BetVictor 3.25 2.88 1.85
Betano 3.55 3.20 2.00
Betfair 3.60 3.10 1.95
Dafabet 3.70 3.20 2.01
Marathonbet 3.34 3.08 2.02
Pinnacle 3.54 3.29 1.98
William Hill 3.50 3.00 2.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.50 ▲ +0.25
X 3.10 —
2 2.00 ▼ -0.05

12 snapshots recorded, from .